VLinear: Enhanced linear complexity time series forecasting model

This study presents a novel time series prediction model(VLinear), designed with linear computational complexity, demonstrating superior predictive performance compared to DLiner without increasing parameter count or computational demands. Our model introduces two key innovations: first, a Feature Pyramid Network (FPN) is employed to effectively capture time series data characteristics, bypassing the traditional decomposition into trend and seasonal components. Second, a multi-layer fusion structure is developed to integrate deep and shallow features seamlessly. Empirically, VLinear outperforms DLiner in 31 out of 32 test cases on eight open-source datasets, with an average reduction of 16.8% in mean squared error (MSE) and 11.8% in mean absolute error (MAE). Additionally, compared to the transformer-based PatchTST, VLinear achieves 10 best MSE and 15 best MAE results, using only 8% of PatchTST’s total computational load in the 32 test projects.

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Publication Details

Journal
Intelligent Data Analysis
Published
2024-12-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/1088467x241303376
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.70
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article

VLinear: Enhanced linear complexity time series forecasting model

Qiping Yuan, Chu Li, Bingjia Xiao
2 citations
Intelligent Data Analysis
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
0.70
article

VLinear: Enhanced linear complexity time series forecasting model

Qiping Yuan, Chu Li, Bingjia Xiao
article en
2 citations

Abstract

This study presents a novel time series prediction model(VLinear), designed with linear computational complexity, demonstrating superior predictive performance compared to DLiner without increasing parameter count or computational demands. Our model introduces two key innovations: first, a Feature Pyramid Network (FPN) is employed to effectively capture time series data characteristics, bypassing the traditional decomposition into trend and seasonal components. Second, a multi-layer fusion structure is developed to integrate deep and shallow features seamlessly. Empirically, VLinear outperforms DLiner in 31 out of 32 test cases on eight open-source datasets, with an average reduction of 16.8% in mean squared error (MSE) and 11.8% in mean absolute error (MAE). Additionally, compared to the transformer-based PatchTST, VLinear achieves 10 best MSE and 15 best MAE results, using only 8% of PatchTST’s total computational load in the 32 test projects.

Intelligent Data AnalysisVol. 29(5)
University of Science and Technology of China (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Hefei Institutes of Physical Science (CN), Institute of Plasma Physics (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 28%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
0.70
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