VLinear: Enhanced linear complexity time series forecasting model
This study presents a novel time series prediction model(VLinear), designed with linear computational complexity, demonstrating superior predictive performance compared to DLiner without increasing parameter count or computational demands. Our model introduces two key innovations: first, a Feature Pyramid Network (FPN) is employed to effectively capture time series data characteristics, bypassing the traditional decomposition into trend and seasonal components. Second, a multi-layer fusion structure is developed to integrate deep and shallow features seamlessly. Empirically, VLinear outperforms DLiner in 31 out of 32 test cases on eight open-source datasets, with an average reduction of 16.8% in mean squared error (MSE) and 11.8% in mean absolute error (MAE). Additionally, compared to the transformer-based PatchTST, VLinear achieves 10 best MSE and 15 best MAE results, using only 8% of PatchTST’s total computational load in the 32 test projects.
Authors
- Qiping Yuan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4292-1302)
- Chu Li
- Bingjia Xiao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8692-2636)
Institutions
- University of Science and Technology of China (CN)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Hefei Institutes of Physical Science (CN)
- Institute of Plasma Physics (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Intelligent Data Analysis
- Published
- 2024-12-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1177/1088467x241303376
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.70