Gaining Insight into Short-Term Voltage Stability Assessment Utilizing Model-Agnostic Explanations Algorithm

With the increasing penetration of renewable energy and dynamic loads, short-term voltage stability (STVS) in modern power systems has become a growing concern. To address this challenge, data-driven methods have been widely employed for rapid and accurate STVS assessment. However, these models often lack transparency, hindering their adoption in real-world operations. This paper proposes an interpretable STVS assessment framework that integrates the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) classifier with Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to provide both global and local insights into model predictions. First, an STVS assessment model is developed based on XGBoost. In order to improve the interpretability of the model, a SHAP-based interpretability framework is developed for STVS assessment. By quantifying feature contributions, the framework reveals the physical factors influencing voltage stability and enhances model transparency. Case studies on a modified 33-bus distribution network validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-08-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/psgec66102.2025.11151030
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Gaining Insight into Short-Term Voltage Stability Assessment Utilizing Model-Agnostic Explanations Algorithm

Weiye Zheng, Boyang Shan
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Gaining Insight into Short-Term Voltage Stability Assessment Utilizing Model-Agnostic Explanations Algorithm

Weiye Zheng, Boyang Shan
article en

Abstract

With the increasing penetration of renewable energy and dynamic loads, short-term voltage stability (STVS) in modern power systems has become a growing concern. To address this challenge, data-driven methods have been widely employed for rapid and accurate STVS assessment. However, these models often lack transparency, hindering their adoption in real-world operations. This paper proposes an interpretable STVS assessment framework that integrates the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) classifier with Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to provide both global and local insights into model predictions. First, an STVS assessment model is developed based on XGBoost. In order to improve the interpretability of the model, a SHAP-based interpretability framework is developed for STVS assessment. By quantifying feature contributions, the framework reveals the physical factors influencing voltage stability and enhances model transparency. Case studies on a modified 33-bus distribution network validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

North China Electric Power University (CN), South China University of Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Gaining Insight into Short-Term Voltage Stability Assessment Utilizing Model-Agnostic Explanations Algorithm — Weiye Zheng, Boyang Shan · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS