Enhancing Traffic Safety and Efficiency with GOLC: A Global Optimal Lane-Changing Model Integrating Real-Time Impact Prediction

Lane-changing maneuvers critically influence traffic flow and safety. This study introduces the Global Optimal Lane-Changing (GOLC) model, a framework that optimizes decisions by quantitatively predicting their systemic effects on surrounding traffic. Unlike traditional models that focus on immediate neighbors, the GOLC model integrates a kinematic wave model to precisely quantify the spatiotemporal impacts on the entire affected platoon, striking a balance between local vehicle actions and global traffic efficiency. Implemented in the Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO) environment, the GOLC model is evaluated against benchmark models Minimizing Overall Braking Induced by Lane Changes (MOBIL) and SUMO LC2013. Comparative evaluations demonstrate the GOLC model’s superior performance. In a three-lane scenario, the GOLC model significantly enhances traffic efficiency, reducing average delay by 3.4% to 46.8% compared to MOBIL under medium- to high-flow conditions. It also fosters a safer environment by reducing unnecessary lane changes by 1.1 times compared to the LC2013 model. In incident scenarios, the GOLC model shows greater adaptability, achieving higher average speeds and lower travel times while minimizing speed dispersion and deceleration. These findings validate the effectiveness of embedding macroscopic traffic theory into microscopic driving decisions. The model’s unique strength lies in its ability to predict and minimize the collective negative impact on all affected vehicles, representing a significant step towards real-world implementation in Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) and enhancing safety in next-generation intelligent transportation systems.