Mathematical Analysis and Optimal Control of a Transmission Model for Respiratory Syncytial Virus
In this study, we develop a mathematical model to describe the transmission dynamics of the Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), incorporating the coexistence of two distinct strains. The global stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria is analyzed. Bifurcation analysis reveals the occurrence of a forward bifurcation. To control the spread of the infection, Pontryagin’s maximum principle is applied within the framework of optimal control theory, considering intervention strategies such as isolation, treatment, and vaccination. A detailed evaluation of the effectiveness of these control strategies is conducted for a specific population based on a nonlinear optimal control model. Moreover, a cost-effectiveness analysis is performed to identify the most economically viable intervention. The findings indicate that, among the studied interventions, isolation is the most cost-effective strategy for reducing RSV prevalence. The model is numerically solved using the fourth-order Runge–Kutta method, coupled with the forward–backward sweep algorithm, to assess the impact of various control combinations on the transmission dynamics of RSV.
Authors
- Moustafa El-Shahed (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9508-3192)
- Yousef Alnafisah (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5412-7432)
- Zakaria S. Al Ajlan
Institutions
- Qassim University (SA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Mathematics
- Published
- 2025-09-10
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/math13182929
- Primary Topic
- Respiratory viral infections research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Qassim University