Disentangling Temporal Trends of Clade Ib Monkeypox Virus Transmission in Burundi
Utilizing mpox case data from Burundi between August 2024 and April 2025, we calibrated a mathematical model to quantify the temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission. The model outputs indicated a declining overall transmission trend. Children aged 0-4 and 5-9 years were estimated to be at higher risk of infection compared to older age groups, while sexual contact was inferred to contribute up to 50% of the overall transmission.
Authors
- Borame Sue Lee Dickens (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-1745)
- Sung-mok Jung (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0787-4515)
- Toshiaki Asakura (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8838-785X)
- Hiroaki Murayama (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7219-5981)
- Joseph Nyandwi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3715-7891)
- Shihui Jin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0079-7390)
- David Niyukuri (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2112-4999)
- Jue Tao Lim (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2245-0331)
- Olivier Kamatari
- Liliane Nkengurutse
- Akira Endo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6377-7296)
Institutions
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Nanyang Technological University (SG)
- Université du Burundi (BI)
- Stellenbosch University (ZA)
- Republic of Burundi (BI)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- National Institute of Public Health (LA)
- Light University of Bujumbur (BI)
- National University Health System (SG)
- Nagasaki University (JP)
- International University of Health and Welfare (JP)
Publication Details
- Journal
- The Journal of Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 2025-09-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiaf475
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Poxvirus research and outbreaks
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.04
Funders
- International Development Research Centre
- National University of Singapore
- Nanyang Technological University
- Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
- Japan Science and Technology Agency