Food impacts on species extinction risks can vary by three orders of magnitude

Agriculturally driven habitat degradation and destruction is the biggest threat to global biodiversity. Yet the impact of different foods and where they are produced on species extinction risks, and the mitigation potential of different interventions, remain poorly quantified. Here we link the LIFE biodiversity metric-a high-resolution global layer describing the marginal impact of land use on extinctions of ~30,000 vertebrate species-with food consumption and production data and provenance modelling. Using an opportunity cost framing, we estimate that the impact of producing 1 kg of different food commodities on species extinction risks varies widely both across and within foods, in many cases by more than an order of magnitude. Despite marked differences in per capita impacts across countries, there are consistent patterns that could be leveraged for mitigating harm to biodiversity. In particular, animal products and commodities grown in the tropics are generally much more impactful than staple crops and vegetables.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Food
Published
2025-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01224-w
Citations
22
Primary Topic
Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
34.33

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article

Food impacts on species extinction risks can vary by three orders of magnitude

Michael Dales, Anil Madhavapeddy, Jonathan Green, David Williams et al.
22 citations
Nature Food
Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
34.33
article

Food impacts on species extinction risks can vary by three orders of magnitude

Michael Dales, Anil Madhavapeddy, Jonathan Green, David Williams, Thomas Ball, Alison Eyres, Andrew Balmford
article en
22 citations

Abstract

Agriculturally driven habitat degradation and destruction is the biggest threat to global biodiversity. Yet the impact of different foods and where they are produced on species extinction risks, and the mitigation potential of different interventions, remain poorly quantified. Here we link the LIFE biodiversity metric-a high-resolution global layer describing the marginal impact of land use on extinctions of ~30,000 vertebrate species-with food consumption and production data and provenance modelling. Using an opportunity cost framing, we estimate that the impact of producing 1 kg of different food commodities on species extinction risks varies widely both across and within foods, in many cases by more than an order of magnitude. Despite marked differences in per capita impacts across countries, there are consistent patterns that could be leveraged for mitigating harm to biodiversity. In particular, animal products and commodities grown in the tropics are generally much more impactful than staple crops and vegetables.

Nature FoodVol. 6(9)
University of Leeds (GB), Stockholm Environment Institute (GB), University of Cambridge (GB), Conservation Leadership Programme (GB)
UK Research and Innovation, Directorate for Biological Sciences, Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
34.33
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