Deep learning based solar forecasting for optimal PV BESS sizing in ultra fast charging stations

Ultra-fast charging stations (UFCS) present a significant challenge due to their high power demand and reliance on grid electricity. This paper proposes an optimization framework that integrates deep learning-based solar forecasting with a Genetic Algorithm (GA) for optimal sizing of photovoltaic (PV) and battery energy storage systems (BESS). A Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model is employed to forecast PV output, while the GA maximizes the Net Present Value (NPV) by selecting optimal PV and BESS sizes tailored to weekday and weekend demand profiles. The results show that PV integration alone improves the NPV by €6.19 million, while combining PV and BESS increases it to €33.97 million. With projected cost reductions, the system achieves a peak NPV of €34.05 million. Reliability analysis using Energy Sufficiency Ratio (ESR) and Autonomy Ratio (AR) confirms enhanced self-sufficiency and reduced grid dependency. This study demonstrates the techno-economic potential of hybrid renewable-powered UFCS using intelligent forecasting and evolutionary optimization.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-09-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-17408-0
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.46
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article

Deep learning based solar forecasting for optimal PV BESS sizing in ultra fast charging stations

Ksh. Robert Singh, Taha Selim Ustun, Subir Datta, Subhasish Deb et al.
2 citations
Scientific Reports
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
1.46
article

Deep learning based solar forecasting for optimal PV BESS sizing in ultra fast charging stations

Ksh. Robert Singh, Taha Selim Ustun, Subir Datta, Subhasish Deb, Hassan Abdurrahman Shuaibu, K Lalbiakhlua
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Ultra-fast charging stations (UFCS) present a significant challenge due to their high power demand and reliance on grid electricity. This paper proposes an optimization framework that integrates deep learning-based solar forecasting with a Genetic Algorithm (GA) for optimal sizing of photovoltaic (PV) and battery energy storage systems (BESS). A Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model is employed to forecast PV output, while the GA maximizes the Net Present Value (NPV) by selecting optimal PV and BESS sizes tailored to weekday and weekend demand profiles. The results show that PV integration alone improves the NPV by €6.19 million, while combining PV and BESS increases it to €33.97 million. With projected cost reductions, the system achieves a peak NPV of €34.05 million. Reliability analysis using Energy Sufficiency Ratio (ESR) and Autonomy Ratio (AR) confirms enhanced self-sufficiency and reduced grid dependency. This study demonstrates the techno-economic potential of hybrid renewable-powered UFCS using intelligent forecasting and evolutionary optimization.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Mizoram University (IN), Kampala International University (UG)
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
1.46
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Deep learning based solar forecasting for optimal PV BESS sizing in ultra fast charging stations — Ksh. Robert Singh, Taha Selim Ustun, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS