Malaria amidst the COVID-19 pandemic in Gabon: an application of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models within an interrupted time series (ITS) framework to hospital-based data
Findings align with several national and global descriptive reports, but add a more detailed understanding of underlying dynamics, therefore reinforcing the importance of maintaining malaria control in the general population. The absence of a meaningful increase in maternal malaria provides some reassurance that malaria in pregnancy-specific control remained unchanged during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, observed peaks in post-pandemic maternal malaria incidence should raise concerns given the risks that malaria poses to this group.
Authors
- Manuel Huth (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4518-5704)
- Friederike Roeder (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-3737-6847)
- Olouyomi Scherif Adegnika (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4639-4282)
- Iris Lopes-Rafegas (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2658-1432)
- Elisa Sicuri (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2499-2732)
- Yabo Josiane Honkpéhèdji (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9726-6643)
- Bertrand Lell (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1427-3002)
- Ayôla Akim Adégnika (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3197-5946)
Institutions
- University of Bonn (DE)
- Leiden University Medical Center (NL)
- Center for Environmental Health (US)
- Helmholtz Zentrum München (DE)
- Departament de Salut (ES)
- Centre de Recherche Médicales de Lambaréné (GA)
- German Center for Infection Research (DE)
- Manhiça Health Research Centre (MZ)
- National Research Fund Luxembourg (LU)
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ES)
- Universitat de Barcelona (ES)
- Medical University of Vienna (AT)
- University of Tübingen (DE)
- London School of Economics and Political Science (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- International Journal of Epidemiology
- Published
- 2025-08-18
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaf140
- Primary Topic
- Malaria Research and Control
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- United States Agency for International Development
- Centres de Recerca de Catalunya
- European Commission
- Generalitat de Catalunya
- Agencia Española de Cooperación Internacional para el Desarrollo
- Agencia Estatal de Investigación