Rates of strongly lensed tidal disruption events

In the coming years, surveys such as the Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) are expected to increase the number of observed Tidal Disruption Events (TDEs) substantially. We employed Monte Carlo integration to calculate the unlensed and lensed TDE rate as a function of limiting magnitude in the u , g , r , and i bands. We investigated the impact of multiple luminosity models, black hole mass functions (BHMFs), and flare temperatures on the TDE rate. Notably, this includes a semi-analytical model, which enables the determination of the TDE temperature in terms of (BH) mass. We predict the highest unlensed TDE rate to be in the g band. It ranges from 16 to 5440 yr −1 (20 000 deg 2 ) −1 for the (ZTF), and it is more consistent with the observed rate at the low end. For LSST, we expect a rate in the g band between 3580 and 82 060 yr −1 (20 000 deg 2 ) −1 . A higher theoretical prediction is within reason, as we do not consider observational effects such as completeness. The unlensed and lensed TDE rates are insensitive to the redshift evolution of the BHMF, even for LSST limiting magnitudes. The best band for detecting lensed TDEs is also the g band. Its predicted rates range from 0.43 to 15 yr −1 (20 000 deg 2 ) −1 for LSST. The scatter of predicted rates reduces when we consider the fraction of lensed TDEs; that is, only a few in ten thousand TDEs will be lensed. Despite the large scatter in the rates of lensed TDEs, our comprehensive considerations of multiple models suggest that lensed TDEs will occur in the 10-year LSST lifetime, providing an exciting prospect for detecting such events. We expect the median redshift of a lensed TDE to be between 1.5 and 2. In this paper, we additionally report on lensed TDE properties, such as the BH mass and time delays.

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Journal
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202554367
Primary Topic
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Rates of strongly lensed tidal disruption events

S. Huber, Lixin Dai, S. H. Suyu, Masamune Oguri et al.
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
article

Rates of strongly lensed tidal disruption events

S. Huber, Lixin Dai, S. H. Suyu, Masamune Oguri, Taeho Ryu, K. Szekerczes, E. Mamuzic
article en

Abstract

In the coming years, surveys such as the Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) are expected to increase the number of observed Tidal Disruption Events (TDEs) substantially. We employed Monte Carlo integration to calculate the unlensed and lensed TDE rate as a function of limiting magnitude in the u , g , r , and i bands. We investigated the impact of multiple luminosity models, black hole mass functions (BHMFs), and flare temperatures on the TDE rate. Notably, this includes a semi-analytical model, which enables the determination of the TDE temperature in terms of (BH) mass. We predict the highest unlensed TDE rate to be in the g band. It ranges from 16 to 5440 yr −1 (20 000 deg 2 ) −1 for the (ZTF), and it is more consistent with the observed rate at the low end. For LSST, we expect a rate in the g band between 3580 and 82 060 yr −1 (20 000 deg 2 ) −1 . A higher theoretical prediction is within reason, as we do not consider observational effects such as completeness. The unlensed and lensed TDE rates are insensitive to the redshift evolution of the BHMF, even for LSST limiting magnitudes. The best band for detecting lensed TDEs is also the g band. Its predicted rates range from 0.43 to 15 yr −1 (20 000 deg 2 ) −1 for LSST. The scatter of predicted rates reduces when we consider the fraction of lensed TDEs; that is, only a few in ten thousand TDEs will be lensed. Despite the large scatter in the rates of lensed TDEs, our comprehensive considerations of multiple models suggest that lensed TDEs will occur in the 10-year LSST lifetime, providing an exciting prospect for detecting such events. We expect the median redshift of a lensed TDE to be between 1.5 and 2. In this paper, we additionally report on lensed TDE properties, such as the BH mass and time delays.

Astronomy and AstrophysicsVol. 701
Planetary Science Institute (US), Pennsylvania State University (US), National Institute of Standards and Technology (US), Chiba University (JP), Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics (DE), Technical University of Munich (DE), University of Hong Kong (HK)
US-UK Fulbright Commission, Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Openalex Percentile: Top 83%
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
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