Forecasts and scenarios of the Trump administration’s Arctic strategy: Second term

In the article, the author refers to the novelties in the US Arctic agenda that emerged after the second inauguration of D. Trump. In the course of the research, an attempt was made to answer a number of questions. Will the new US administration completely change its strategy in the Arctic, or will it continue to implement some percentage of the programs inherited from the Democrats? To assess the realism of individual elements of the republican Arctic program in terms of available capabilities and organizational measures. Having conducted a historiographical analysis of the works of domestic and foreign authors, as well as some of the author’s sources, it is concluded that in the context of the growing geopolitical and geo-economic importance of the Arctic in the system of US foreign policy priorities in the context of the Republican-democratic confrontation, there is a certain continuity that allows strengthening both the logistical and political-diplomatic foundations for American dominance in the Arctic region. Various parameters and scales of interaction between the Arctic states and the United States are being investigated, from their economic, political, and military cooperation, including through the use of force to realize their plans, to D. Trump’s idea of new territories joining the United States.