Measuring and analyzing the relationship between monetary policy and the public budget in Iraq for the period (2004-2023)

ا The research aims are to verify the existence of a long-term correlation between monetary policy represented by the broad money supply and the public budget for from 2004 to 2023 using the ARDL bounds test method for joint integration, after testing the stability of the time series using the approved tests based on annual data. The research results confirmed the existence of a correlation between the research variables. The standard method proved the existence of an inverse relationship between the independent variable (M2), which symbolizes the broad money supply, and the public budget variable (BD), thus accepting the research hypothesis. With a long-term positive relationship between the gross domestic product and the public budget. As a result, the research recommends the necessity of establishing a more effective monetary policy to achieve the goals of internal balance by managing the money supply in line with the state of the economy and working to direct and rationalize public spending to reduce the aggravation of the public budget deficit.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Iraqi Journal of Economic Sciences
Published
2025-04-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31272/ijes.v23i84.1205
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
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article

Measuring and analyzing the relationship between monetary policy and the public budget in Iraq for the period (2004-2023)

Ali Wahaib Abdallah, Alyaa Hussein Khalaf Al-Zarkroushi
1 citations
Iraqi Journal of Economic Sciences
Market Dynamics and Volatility
3.13
article

Measuring and analyzing the relationship between monetary policy and the public budget in Iraq for the period (2004-2023)

Ali Wahaib Abdallah, Alyaa Hussein Khalaf Al-Zarkroushi
article en
1 citations

Abstract

ا The research aims are to verify the existence of a long-term correlation between monetary policy represented by the broad money supply and the public budget for from 2004 to 2023 using the ARDL bounds test method for joint integration, after testing the stability of the time series using the approved tests based on annual data. The research results confirmed the existence of a correlation between the research variables. The standard method proved the existence of an inverse relationship between the independent variable (M2), which symbolizes the broad money supply, and the public budget variable (BD), thus accepting the research hypothesis. With a long-term positive relationship between the gross domestic product and the public budget. As a result, the research recommends the necessity of establishing a more effective monetary policy to achieve the goals of internal balance by managing the money supply in line with the state of the economy and working to direct and rationalize public spending to reduce the aggravation of the public budget deficit.

Iraqi Journal of Economic SciencesVol. 23(84)
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
3.13
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