EMD-LSTM-AM PV power prediction model

This paper proposes a hybrid EMD - LSTM - AM model based on digital twins for photovoltaic power prediction.First, high - precision photovoltaic power and weather data are collected and preprocessed via a digital twin system. Then, EMD decomposes the complex power time series into multiple IMFs, with representative ones selected for model input. Next, a two - layer LSTM network processes each IMF to extract time - series features, and AM weights the hidden states of the LSTM to highlight key information. Finally, a fully connected layer maps the weighted features to sub - power predictions for each IMF, and the results are post - processed to yield the final power prediction. Model parameters are set using the TensorFlow framework. Experiments compare the proposed model with RNN, LSTM, EMD - LSTM, and LSTM - AM models, demonstrating the EMD - LSTM - AM model’s superior predictive accuracy.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-06-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icetac65964.2025.11144159
Primary Topic
Power Systems and Renewable Energy
Type
article
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article

EMD-LSTM-AM PV power prediction model

Jiacheng Cui, Y.-J. Wang, Yunbo Guo, Wenzhou Liu et al.
Power Systems and Renewable Energy
article

EMD-LSTM-AM PV power prediction model

Jiacheng Cui, Y.-J. Wang, Yunbo Guo, Wenzhou Liu, Yilong Yang, Lixin Pei, Pengyu Wang
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes a hybrid EMD - LSTM - AM model based on digital twins for photovoltaic power prediction.First, high - precision photovoltaic power and weather data are collected and preprocessed via a digital twin system. Then, EMD decomposes the complex power time series into multiple IMFs, with representative ones selected for model input. Next, a two - layer LSTM network processes each IMF to extract time - series features, and AM weights the hidden states of the LSTM to highlight key information. Finally, a fully connected layer maps the weighted features to sub - power predictions for each IMF, and the results are post - processed to yield the final power prediction. Model parameters are set using the TensorFlow framework. Experiments compare the proposed model with RNN, LSTM, EMD - LSTM, and LSTM - AM models, demonstrating the EMD - LSTM - AM model’s superior predictive accuracy.

Changchun Institute of Technology (CN), Changchun University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Power Systems and Renewable Energy
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