Research on Power Load Prediction and Dynamic Power Management of Trailing Suction Hopper Dredger

During the continuous operation of trailing suction hopper dredger (TSHD), equipment workload exhibits significant time-varying characteristics. Maintaining dynamic symmetry between power generation and consumption is crucial for ensuring system stability and preventing power supply failures. Key challenges lie in dynamic perception, accurate prediction, and real-time power management to achieve this equilibrium. To address this issue, this paper proposes and constructs a “prediction-driven dynamic power management method.” Firstly, to model the complex temporal dependencies of the workload sequence, we introduce and improve a dilated convolutional long short-term memory network (Dilated-LSTM) to build a workload prediction model with strong long-term dependency awareness. This model significantly improves the accuracy of workload trend prediction. Based on the accurate prediction results, a dynamic power management strategy is developed: when the predicted total power consumption is about to exceed a preset margin threshold, the Power Management System (PMS) automatically triggers power reduction operations for adjusfigure loads, aiming to maintain grid balance without interrupting critical loads. If the power that the generator can produce is still less than the required power after the power is reduced, and there is still a risk of supply-demand imbalance, the system uses an Improved Grey Wolf Optimization (IGWO) algorithm to automatically disconnect some non-critical loads, achieving real-time dynamic symmetry matching of generation capacity and load demand. Experimental results show that this mechanism effectively prevents generator overloads or ship-wide power failures, significantly improving system stability and the reliability of power supply to critical loads. The research results provide effective technical support for intelligent energy efficiency management and safe operation of TSHDs and other vessels with complex working conditions.