Precursory anomalies in the seismo-ionospheric-atmospheric domain associated with offshore earthquakes of magnitude greater than 7.0

Research on ionospheric and atmospheric anomalies related to earthquakes has advanced our understanding of lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere interactions. Despite this progress, precursor signals are often obscured by solar disturbances such as flares, coronal mass ejections, and geomagnetic storms (i.e. Solar Flares, solar wind speed, interplanetary magnetic field, etc.). This study investigates seismo-ionospheric and atmospheric anomalies associated with two offshore Japanese earthquakes with magnitudes Mw = 7.1 (37.156oN, 144.661oE) and Mw = 7.3 (37.89oN, 143.949oE) using GNSS-derived Total Electron Content (TEC), geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst, AE), and foF2 data. Anomalies were identified using three statistical techniques: (1) mean ± standard deviation, (2) median ± interquartile range, and (3) wavelet transform-based detection. All methods revealed anomalies 4–10 days before and 3–5 days after the events. To distinguish seismic precursors from solar-induced variations, geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst, AE, foF2, and quiet-to-storm day ratios) were integrated using both soft (OR) and hard (AND) logic constraints. Furthermore, NOAA/NCEP Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) composite maps showed spatiotemporal alignment with TEC anomalies, supporting the diffusion theory of seismo-ionospheric coupling. The strong consistency across detection methods enhances confidence in these findings. This study offers a robust integrated approach for identifying earthquake-related anomalies under both geomagnetically quiet, improving previously established methodologies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geomatics Natural Hazards and Risk
Published
2025-09-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2025.2555740
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.87
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article

Precursory anomalies in the seismo-ionospheric-atmospheric domain associated with offshore earthquakes of magnitude greater than 7.0

Nassir Al‐Arifi, Matee Ullah, Youssef M. Youssef, Ahmed Sedeek et al.
1 citations
Geomatics Natural Hazards and Risk
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
1.87
article

Precursory anomalies in the seismo-ionospheric-atmospheric domain associated with offshore earthquakes of magnitude greater than 7.0

Nassir Al‐Arifi, Matee Ullah, Youssef M. Youssef, Ahmed Sedeek, Muhammad Nasar Ahmad, Fakhrul Islam, Irfan Ullah, Yasir Anees
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Research on ionospheric and atmospheric anomalies related to earthquakes has advanced our understanding of lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere interactions. Despite this progress, precursor signals are often obscured by solar disturbances such as flares, coronal mass ejections, and geomagnetic storms (i.e. Solar Flares, solar wind speed, interplanetary magnetic field, etc.). This study investigates seismo-ionospheric and atmospheric anomalies associated with two offshore Japanese earthquakes with magnitudes Mw = 7.1 (37.156oN, 144.661oE) and Mw = 7.3 (37.89oN, 143.949oE) using GNSS-derived Total Electron Content (TEC), geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst, AE), and foF2 data. Anomalies were identified using three statistical techniques: (1) mean ± standard deviation, (2) median ± interquartile range, and (3) wavelet transform-based detection. All methods revealed anomalies 4–10 days before and 3–5 days after the events. To distinguish seismic precursors from solar-induced variations, geomagnetic indices (Kp, Dst, AE, foF2, and quiet-to-storm day ratios) were integrated using both soft (OR) and hard (AND) logic constraints. Furthermore, NOAA/NCEP Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) composite maps showed spatiotemporal alignment with TEC anomalies, supporting the diffusion theory of seismo-ionospheric coupling. The strong consistency across detection methods enhances confidence in these findings. This study offers a robust integrated approach for identifying earthquake-related anomalies under both geomagnetically quiet, improving previously established methodologies.

Geomatics Natural Hazards and RiskVol. 16(1)
Suez University (EG), Bacha Khan University (PK), Anhui Agricultural University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), King Saud University (SA), Wuhan University (CN), Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography (CN), State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying Mapping and Remote Sensing (CN), Sphere Institute (US), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
1.87
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