Thermoelectric Optimisation of Park-Level Integrated Energy System Considering Two-Stage Power-to-Gas and Source-Load Uncertainty

The integration of renewable energy and power-to-gas (P2G) technology into park-level integrated energy systems (PIES) offers a sustainable pathway for low-carbon development. This paper presents a low-carbon economic dispatch model for PIES that incorporates uncertainties in renewable energy generation and load demand. A novel two-stage P2G, replacing traditional devices with electrolysers (EL), methane reactors (MR), and hydrogen fuel cells (HFC), enhances energy efficiency and facilitates the utilisation of captured carbon. Furthermore, adjustable thermoelectric ratios in combined heat and power (CHP) and HFC improve both economic and environmental performance. A ladder-type carbon trading and green certificate trading mechanism is introduced to effectively manage carbon emissions. To address the uncertainties in supply and demand, the study applies information gap decision theory (IGDT) and develops a robust risk-averse model. The results from various operating scenarios reveal the following key findings: (1) the integration of CCT with the two-stage P2G system increases renewable energy consumption and reduces carbon emissions by 5.8%; (2) adjustable thermoelectric ratios in CHP and HFC allow for flexible adjustment of output power in response to load requirements, thereby reducing costs while simultaneously lowering carbon emissions; (3) the incorporation of ladder-type carbon trading and green certificate trading reduces the total cost by 7.8%; (4) in the IGDT-based robust model, there is a positive correlation between total cost, uncertainty degree, and the cost deviation coefficient. The appropriate selection of the cost deviation coefficient is crucial for balancing system economics with the associated risk of uncertainty.