A Novel ML Approach for Real-Time Prediction of PV Production: Detection and Impact of Shading

With the surging adoption of renewable energy, robust and precise monitoring of photovoltaic (PV) systems is increasingly critical. Traditional diagnostic methods often fall short in large-scale scenarios. This paper introduces a newly patented machine learning method that integrates module temperature, irradiance, and solar angles to capture shading losses and performance deviations. By discretizing data into physically interpretable matrices, the model achieves an R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup>≥0.947 on real 1 MW plant data. Its lightweight, platform-agnostic design facilitates seamless adoption, enhancing O&M services through accurate, real-time power predictions.

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Published
2025-06-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iccep65222.2025.11143660
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Novel ML Approach for Real-Time Prediction of PV Production: Detection and Impact of Shading

Vincenzo Di Dio, Valerio Lo Brano, Cristina Baglivo, Stefania Guarino et al.
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

A Novel ML Approach for Real-Time Prediction of PV Production: Detection and Impact of Shading

Vincenzo Di Dio, Valerio Lo Brano, Cristina Baglivo, Stefania Guarino, Marina Bonomolo, Alessandro Buscemi
article en

Abstract

With the surging adoption of renewable energy, robust and precise monitoring of photovoltaic (PV) systems is increasingly critical. Traditional diagnostic methods often fall short in large-scale scenarios. This paper introduces a newly patented machine learning method that integrates module temperature, irradiance, and solar angles to capture shading losses and performance deviations. By discretizing data into physically interpretable matrices, the model achieves an R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup>≥0.947 on real 1 MW plant data. Its lightweight, platform-agnostic design facilitates seamless adoption, enhancing O&M services through accurate, real-time power predictions.

University of Salento (IT), Innovation Engineering (Italy) (IT), University of Palermo (IT)
European Commission
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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A Novel ML Approach for Real-Time Prediction of PV Production: Detection and Impact of Shading — Vincenzo Di Dio, Valerio Lo Brano, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS