Mathematical modelling of covid-19 using health mask, vaccination, quarantine, and asymptomatic case

This study develops a SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered) model to model the spread of COVID-19 by adding the use of health masks, vaccinations, quarantines, and asymptomatic compartments. The model is analyzed using equilibrium point stability analysis and numerical simulation. Based on the system, two equilibrium points are obtained, namely the disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point, and the basic reproduction number (Ro). The stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium point will be locally asymptotically stable if Ro<1. The numerical simulation results show that the disease will disappear from the population if Ro<1 and remain in the population if Ro>1 . Based on the sensitivity analysis, parameters with significant impact are the level of awareness of individuals in using health masks, vaccination rates, contact rates with symptomatic or asymptomatic infected individuals, and quarantine rates for symptomatic infected individuals.

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Publication Details

Journal
Desimal Jurnal Matematika
Published
2024-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24042/djm.v7i3.24397
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
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article

Mathematical modelling of covid-19 using health mask, vaccination, quarantine, and asymptomatic case

Muhammad Manaqib, Ahmed Saeed Yahya, Madona Yunita Wijaya
Desimal Jurnal Matematika
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

Mathematical modelling of covid-19 using health mask, vaccination, quarantine, and asymptomatic case

Muhammad Manaqib, Ahmed Saeed Yahya, Madona Yunita Wijaya
article en

Abstract

This study develops a SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered) model to model the spread of COVID-19 by adding the use of health masks, vaccinations, quarantines, and asymptomatic compartments. The model is analyzed using equilibrium point stability analysis and numerical simulation. Based on the system, two equilibrium points are obtained, namely the disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point, and the basic reproduction number (Ro). The stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium point will be locally asymptotically stable if Ro<1. The numerical simulation results show that the disease will disappear from the population if Ro<1 and remain in the population if Ro>1 . Based on the sensitivity analysis, parameters with significant impact are the level of awareness of individuals in using health masks, vaccination rates, contact rates with symptomatic or asymptomatic infected individuals, and quarantine rates for symptomatic infected individuals.

Desimal Jurnal MatematikaVol. 7(3)
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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Mathematical modelling of covid-19 using health mask, vaccination, quarantine, and asymptomatic case — Muhammad Manaqib, Ahmed Saeed Yahya, et al. · Desimal Jurnal Matematika (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS