Driving Mechanism of Tourism Green Innovation Efficiency Network Evolution: A TERGM Analysis

Under the background of global green sustainable development and the urgent need to understand complex regional innovation systems, it is crucial to scientifically assess China’s Tourism Green Innovation Efficiency (TGIE) as a dynamic networked system and reveal its system-level evolution driving mechanism. This article presents the construction of the TGIE evaluation indicator system, measures the inter-provincial TGIE in China in 2011–2023 based on the three-stage super-efficiency SBM-DEA model, analyzes the spatial correlation network characteristics of TGIE by using the motif analysis method and the social network analysis method, and explores the evolutionary driving mechanism by using the time-exponential random graph model (TERGM). The study shows the following: (1) The TGIE of China exhibits a regional distribution pattern characterized by “high in the east and low in the west.” The efficiency of the eastern coastal region is significantly higher than that of the central and western regions, and the overall efficiency shows a fluctuating upward trend. (2) The local structure of China’s TGIE network is dominated by the chain structure, and the partially closed structure is gradually enhanced. It indicates that the bridge role of intermediary nodes in the cross-regional flow of innovation resources is becoming more and more significant. (3) The overall network evolves from a single center to a polycentric collaboration model. High-efficiency regions attract low-efficiency regions to collaborate through high connectivity, and intermediary nodes play a key role in connecting high- and low-efficiency regions. (4) The evolution of China’s TGIE network is driven by both exogenous and endogenous dynamics, showing significant path dependence and path creation characteristics. This study enhances the theoretical framework of complex systems in tourism innovation and offers theoretical support and policy insights for optimizing the network structure of China’s TGIE as a complex adaptive system and maximizing regional cooperation networks.