Optimal control strategies for reducing the interrelated issues of food insecurity and disease dynamics: A mathematical modelling approach using Nigeria as a case study

Food insecurity and the spread of infectious disease are among the two major problems facing the world today especially in poor rural communities. Unfortunately, these two problems are related as many poor rural communities with food insecurity issues are also endemic to some food and waterborne diseases. A mathematical model that takes into consideration the major factors affecting food insecurity and disease is developed and used to analyse the problems. The essential features of the model are obtained and analysed analytically. Model fitting and parameter estimation is performed using Nigeria as a case study. To determine how to reduce food insecurity and disease, the model is extended by introducing appropriate control intervention. Optimal control analysis is conducted to determine how to reduce food insecurity and disease with minimum cost. The study reveals the interrelated issues of food insecurity and disease dynamics which is crucial for proper management and better decision making.

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Publication Details

Journal
Computational Biology and Chemistry
Published
2025-09-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compbiolchem.2025.108664
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Optimal control strategies for reducing the interrelated issues of food insecurity and disease dynamics: A mathematical modelling approach using Nigeria as a case study

Obiora Cornelius Collins, Kevin J. Duffy
Computational Biology and Chemistry
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

Optimal control strategies for reducing the interrelated issues of food insecurity and disease dynamics: A mathematical modelling approach using Nigeria as a case study

Obiora Cornelius Collins, Kevin J. Duffy
article en

Abstract

Food insecurity and the spread of infectious disease are among the two major problems facing the world today especially in poor rural communities. Unfortunately, these two problems are related as many poor rural communities with food insecurity issues are also endemic to some food and waterborne diseases. A mathematical model that takes into consideration the major factors affecting food insecurity and disease is developed and used to analyse the problems. The essential features of the model are obtained and analysed analytically. Model fitting and parameter estimation is performed using Nigeria as a case study. To determine how to reduce food insecurity and disease, the model is extended by introducing appropriate control intervention. Optimal control analysis is conducted to determine how to reduce food insecurity and disease with minimum cost. The study reveals the interrelated issues of food insecurity and disease dynamics which is crucial for proper management and better decision making.

Computational Biology and ChemistryVol. 120(Pt 1)
Durban University of Technology (ZA), National Institute for Theoretical Physics (ZA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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