High-Resolution rooftop photovoltaic potential assessment for a resilient energy system in Ukraine
• Detailed bottom-up methodology based on building polygons from open satellite data. • Rooftop photovoltaic capacity and generation potential for all of Ukraine. • Timeseries and energy data for individual module orientations and tilts. • Nationwide highly spatially and temporally resolved datasets available as open data. Rooftop photovoltaic (RTPV) systems are essential for building a decarbonized and, due to its decentralized structure, more resilient energy system, and are particularly important for Ukraine, where recent conflicts have damaged more than half of its electricity and heat supply capacity. Favorable solar irradiation conditions make Ukraine a strong candidate for large-scale PV deployment, but effective policy requires detailed data on spatial and temporal generation potential. This study fills the data gap by using open-source satellite building footprint data corrected with high-resolution data from eastern Germany. This approach allowed accurate estimates of rooftop area and PV capacity and generation across Ukraine, with simulations revealing a capacity potential of 238.8 GW and a generation potential of 290 TWh/a excluding north-facing. The majority of this potential is located in oblasts (provinces) across the country with large cities such as Donetsk, Dnipro or Kyiv and surroundings. These results, validated against previous studies and available as open data, confirm Ukraine’s significant potential for RTPV, supporting both energy resilience and climate goals.
Authors
- Detlef Stolten (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1671-3262)
- Heidi Heinrichs (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9536-9465)
- Charles R. Hart
- Jochen Linßen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2805-2307)
- Kristina Dabrock (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7009-0943)
- Christoph Winkler (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8174-8392)
- Jann Michael Weinand (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2948-876X)
- Sergey Kapustyan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2425-588X)
Institutions
- Agence internationale de l'énergie (FR)
- Forschungszentrum Jülich (DE)
- RWTH Aachen University (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Energy Conversion and Management X
- Published
- 2025-09-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecmx.2025.101242
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 4.96