Near‐Surface Similarities Between ENSO and the QBO

Abstract Despite evidence for interactions between the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation (QBO), the correlation between their indices is elusive and unstable over the observational record. We show that in ERA5, DJF composites of La Niña sea‐surface temperatures (SSTs) are positively correlated with SST composites of the QBO's easterly phase (QBOE), and DJF El Niño SST anomalies are correlated with those of the QBO's westerly phase (QBOW). These correlations change coherently with season; the La Niña/QBOE correlation turns strongly negative in May. QBO and ENSO composites of the surface fluxes of latent heat, the surface absorbed short wave radiation, and the outgoing longwave radiation, are also highly correlated, again with a coherent annual cycle. These findings strengthen the evidence for interactions between ENSO and the QBO, highlighting the role of the seasonal cycle, and may be relevant to the interactions of the QBO and the Madden‐Julian Oscillation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-09-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl116360
Primary Topic
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Near‐Surface Similarities Between ENSO and the QBO

David A. Randall, Eli Tziperman, Mark Branson
Geophysical Research Letters
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
article

Near‐Surface Similarities Between ENSO and the QBO

David A. Randall, Eli Tziperman, Mark Branson
article en

Abstract

Abstract Despite evidence for interactions between the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation (QBO), the correlation between their indices is elusive and unstable over the observational record. We show that in ERA5, DJF composites of La Niña sea‐surface temperatures (SSTs) are positively correlated with SST composites of the QBO's easterly phase (QBOE), and DJF El Niño SST anomalies are correlated with those of the QBO's westerly phase (QBOW). These correlations change coherently with season; the La Niña/QBOE correlation turns strongly negative in May. QBO and ENSO composites of the surface fluxes of latent heat, the surface absorbed short wave radiation, and the outgoing longwave radiation, are also highly correlated, again with a coherent annual cycle. These findings strengthen the evidence for interactions between ENSO and the QBO, highlighting the role of the seasonal cycle, and may be relevant to the interactions of the QBO and the Madden‐Julian Oscillation.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(17)
Planetary Science Institute (US), Harvard University (US), Colorado State University (US)
National Science Foundation, U.S. Department of Energy, Weizmann Institute of Science, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
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