Modified C/SiC composites with high ablation resistance: Data‐driven intelligent design and experimental validation

Abstract Improving the ablation resistance of carbon fiber‐reinforced silicon carbide (C/SiC) composites is essential to meet the stringent demands of ultra‐high‐temperature applications, but traditional empirical design approaches are resource‐intensive and time‐consuming. This study presents a novel data‐driven methodology integrating machine learning (ML) with experimental validation to optimize C/SiC composite ablation resistance. Through systematic data preprocessing and feature analysis of 102 experimental samples, an XGBoost regression model was developed, achieving satisfactory prediction accuracy (mean absolute error < ∼0.075, mean squared error < ∼0.015, and coefficient of determination [R 2 ] > ∼0.75) for ablation rate. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis revealed that modifier properties, particularly standard enthalpy and melting point, predominantly influence ablation resistance. The ML‐guided design strategy, implemented through Bayesian optimization, led to the successful fabrication of ZrB 2 ‐modified C/SiC composites with exceptional ablation resistance. The optimized composite, containing approximately 20.0 vol.% ZrB 2 , achieved a linear ablation rate of 2.083 µm/s under oxyacetylene torch testing, representing a significant improvement over conventional compositions. Microstructural analysis confirmed the formation of a dense SiO 2 ‒B 2 O 3 protective layer, validating the predicted mechanism of enhanced ablation resistance. This work establishes a robust framework for accelerated development of ultra‐high‐temperature ceramics and demonstrates the efficacy of ML‐driven approaches in materials design optimization. An object‐oriented software with interactive graphical user interface has been developed. These methodologies have been integrated into an interactive software, Modified C/SiC Ablation Rate intelligent design Software (MARS), creating an efficient tool for the accelerated design of C/SiC composites with tailored ablation performance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the American Ceramic Society
Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/jace.70209
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Advanced ceramic materials synthesis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.45

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article

Modified C/SiC composites with high ablation resistance: Data‐driven intelligent design and experimental validation

Qingfeng Zeng, Kang Guan, Xiaohui Yang, Zhengchun Du et al.
2 citations
Journal of the American Ceramic Society
Advanced ceramic materials synthesis
1.45
article

Modified C/SiC composites with high ablation resistance: Data‐driven intelligent design and experimental validation

Qingfeng Zeng, Kang Guan, Xiaohui Yang, Zhengchun Du, Chaokun Song, Pinggen Rao, Longteng Bai, Jing Wang, Yongsheng Liu, Shengbo Shi
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Abstract Improving the ablation resistance of carbon fiber‐reinforced silicon carbide (C/SiC) composites is essential to meet the stringent demands of ultra‐high‐temperature applications, but traditional empirical design approaches are resource‐intensive and time‐consuming. This study presents a novel data‐driven methodology integrating machine learning (ML) with experimental validation to optimize C/SiC composite ablation resistance. Through systematic data preprocessing and feature analysis of 102 experimental samples, an XGBoost regression model was developed, achieving satisfactory prediction accuracy (mean absolute error < ∼0.075, mean squared error < ∼0.015, and coefficient of determination [R 2 ] > ∼0.75) for ablation rate. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis revealed that modifier properties, particularly standard enthalpy and melting point, predominantly influence ablation resistance. The ML‐guided design strategy, implemented through Bayesian optimization, led to the successful fabrication of ZrB 2 ‐modified C/SiC composites with exceptional ablation resistance. The optimized composite, containing approximately 20.0 vol.% ZrB 2 , achieved a linear ablation rate of 2.083 µm/s under oxyacetylene torch testing, representing a significant improvement over conventional compositions. Microstructural analysis confirmed the formation of a dense SiO 2 ‒B 2 O 3 protective layer, validating the predicted mechanism of enhanced ablation resistance. This work establishes a robust framework for accelerated development of ultra‐high‐temperature ceramics and demonstrates the efficacy of ML‐driven approaches in materials design optimization. An object‐oriented software with interactive graphical user interface has been developed. These methodologies have been integrated into an interactive software, Modified C/SiC Ablation Rate intelligent design Software (MARS), creating an efficient tool for the accelerated design of C/SiC composites with tailored ablation performance.

Journal of the American Ceramic SocietyVol. 108(12)
Northwestern Polytechnical University (CN), Nanshan Group (China) (CN), South China University of Technology (CN), Northwestern Polytechnic University (US)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong Province
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Advanced ceramic materials synthesis
1.45
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