Projections of climate change vulnerability along the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 2020–2100

This data descriptor presents the GVI Projections Database with projections of socioeconomic vulnerability for the period 2020-2100 along three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for almost all countries of the world. The projections are based on the GDL Vulnerability Index (GVI), a composite index for monitoring the human components of vulnerability to climate change, natural disasters and other shocks for societies and geographic areas across the globe. The GVI is based on an additive formula that summarizes the essence of seven major socioeconomic dimensions of vulnerability into one number. This formula approach makes it possible to compute the index for any region at any point in time for which the underlying indicators are available. We derive projections of these indicators from the SSP databases for each fifth year in the period 2020-2100. These projections are subsequently used to compute future GVI values for countries and major global regions for three SSPs: the green road scenario (SSP1), the middle of the road scenario (SSP2), and the rocky road scenario (SSP3).