Impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship on the simulated Arctic warming during the last interglacial

Abstract. The Arctic during the last interglacial period (LIG) was considered warmer than today. While a recent proxy-based study suggests the disappearance of summer sea ice in the Arctic at the LIG, many climate models fail to capture this feature. It is thus essential to investigate sources of uncertainty in numerical models. The current study examines the impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship. Sensitivity studies are conducted for the first time to explore the potential importance of this relationship in simulating the LIG climate. Two different cloud parameter sets are used for an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model with and without the dynamic vegetation feedback. The model with cloud parametrization permitting liquid water at a lower temperature and a larger fraction of supercooled liquid water at the same temperature simulates a warmer preindustrial (PI) climate, larger annual mean Arctic warming at the LIG, and substantially reduced sea ice cover during summer at the LIG. It is demonstrated that the low-level clouds play a crucial role in controlling the Arctic response via the greenhouse effect. The result indicates the importance of the temperature-cloud phase relationship in simulating the Arctic climate at the LIG. It also highlights the importance of accurately simulating modern sea ice thickness and representing the processes that affect the fraction of supercooled liquid water in clouds.

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Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4109
Primary Topic
Cryospheric studies and observations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship on the simulated Arctic warming during the last interglacial

Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Tomoo Ogura, Ryouta O’ishi, Sam Sherriff‐Tadano et al.
Cryospheric studies and observations
article

Impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship on the simulated Arctic warming during the last interglacial

Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Tomoo Ogura, Ryouta O’ishi, Sam Sherriff‐Tadano, Masakazu Yoshimori, Wing‐Le Chan, Nozomi Arima
article en

Abstract

Abstract. The Arctic during the last interglacial period (LIG) was considered warmer than today. While a recent proxy-based study suggests the disappearance of summer sea ice in the Arctic at the LIG, many climate models fail to capture this feature. It is thus essential to investigate sources of uncertainty in numerical models. The current study examines the impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship. Sensitivity studies are conducted for the first time to explore the potential importance of this relationship in simulating the LIG climate. Two different cloud parameter sets are used for an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model with and without the dynamic vegetation feedback. The model with cloud parametrization permitting liquid water at a lower temperature and a larger fraction of supercooled liquid water at the same temperature simulates a warmer preindustrial (PI) climate, larger annual mean Arctic warming at the LIG, and substantially reduced sea ice cover during summer at the LIG. It is demonstrated that the low-level clouds play a crucial role in controlling the Arctic response via the greenhouse effect. The result indicates the importance of the temperature-cloud phase relationship in simulating the Arctic climate at the LIG. It also highlights the importance of accurately simulating modern sea ice thickness and representing the processes that affect the fraction of supercooled liquid water in clouds.

National Institute for Environmental Studies (JP), University of the Ryukyus (JP), The University of Tokyo (JP)
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Cryospheric studies and observations
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