Global stability and identifiability of the immuno-epidemiological model

The immuno-epidemiological model bridges immunology and epidemiology, offering a detailed framework for studying infectious disease dynamics. However, its high complexity, particularly in constructing Lyapunov functions for partial differential equation (PDE) systems, poses significant challenges in analyzing global stability. In this study, we propose a novel method to infer the Lyapunov function of the PDE system from its degenerate ordinary differential equation (ODE) counterpart, enabling rigorous analysis of the global stability of the between-host (epidemiological) model. Moreover, in the study of inverse problems, the given observational data may have multiple possible solutions. For differential equation models, the model’s identifiability is a prerequisite to ensuring the reliability of parameter estimation. To address identifiability issues in inverse problems, we introduce a method to transform the PDE system with integral terms into an ODE system, facilitating the application of structural identifiability techniques. Our work provides a powerful theoretical and practical framework for advancing the analysis and reliability of immuno-epidemiological models.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-025-03983-z
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Global stability and identifiability of the immuno-epidemiological model

Hui Wu, Xin‐Jian Xu, Jie Lou, Yafei Zhao
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

Global stability and identifiability of the immuno-epidemiological model

Hui Wu, Xin‐Jian Xu, Jie Lou, Yafei Zhao
article en

Abstract

The immuno-epidemiological model bridges immunology and epidemiology, offering a detailed framework for studying infectious disease dynamics. However, its high complexity, particularly in constructing Lyapunov functions for partial differential equation (PDE) systems, poses significant challenges in analyzing global stability. In this study, we propose a novel method to infer the Lyapunov function of the PDE system from its degenerate ordinary differential equation (ODE) counterpart, enabling rigorous analysis of the global stability of the between-host (epidemiological) model. Moreover, in the study of inverse problems, the given observational data may have multiple possible solutions. For differential equation models, the model’s identifiability is a prerequisite to ensuring the reliability of parameter estimation. To address identifiability issues in inverse problems, we introduce a method to transform the PDE system with integral terms into an ODE system, facilitating the application of structural identifiability techniques. Our work provides a powerful theoretical and practical framework for advancing the analysis and reliability of immuno-epidemiological models.

Advances in Continuous and Discrete ModelsVol. 2025(1)
Shanghai University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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