Structured AI decision-making in disaster management

With artificial intelligence (AI) being applied to bring autonomy to decision-making in safety-critical domains such as the ones typified in the aerospace and emergency-response services, there has been a call to address the ethical implications of structuring those decisions, so they remain reliable and justifiable when human lives are at stake. This paper contributes to addressing the challenge of decision-making by proposing a structured decision-making framework as a foundational step towards responsible AI. The proposed structured decision-making framework is implemented in autonomous decision-making, specifically within disaster management. By introducing concepts of Enabler agents, Levels and Scenarios, the proposed framework's performance is evaluated against systems relying solely on judgement-based insights, as well as human operators who have disaster experience: victims, volunteers, and stakeholders. The results demonstrate that the structured decision-making framework achieves 60.94% greater stability in consistently accurate decisions across multiple Scenarios, compared to judgement-based systems. Moreover, the study shows that the proposed framework outperforms human operators with a 38.93% higher accuracy across various Scenarios. These findings demonstrate the promise of the structured decision-making framework for building more reliable autonomous AI applications in safety-critical contexts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-09-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-15317-w
Primary Topic
Disaster Management and Resilience
Type
article
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article

Structured AI decision-making in disaster management

Miguel Arana‐Catania, Naomi Greenwood, Argyrios C. Zolotas, Julian Gerald Dcruz
Scientific Reports
Disaster Management and Resilience
article

Structured AI decision-making in disaster management

Miguel Arana‐Catania, Naomi Greenwood, Argyrios C. Zolotas, Julian Gerald Dcruz
article en

Abstract

With artificial intelligence (AI) being applied to bring autonomy to decision-making in safety-critical domains such as the ones typified in the aerospace and emergency-response services, there has been a call to address the ethical implications of structuring those decisions, so they remain reliable and justifiable when human lives are at stake. This paper contributes to addressing the challenge of decision-making by proposing a structured decision-making framework as a foundational step towards responsible AI. The proposed structured decision-making framework is implemented in autonomous decision-making, specifically within disaster management. By introducing concepts of Enabler agents, Levels and Scenarios, the proposed framework's performance is evaluated against systems relying solely on judgement-based insights, as well as human operators who have disaster experience: victims, volunteers, and stakeholders. The results demonstrate that the structured decision-making framework achieves 60.94% greater stability in consistently accurate decisions across multiple Scenarios, compared to judgement-based systems. Moreover, the study shows that the proposed framework outperforms human operators with a 38.93% higher accuracy across various Scenarios. These findings demonstrate the promise of the structured decision-making framework for building more reliable autonomous AI applications in safety-critical contexts.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
University of Oxford (GB), Science Oxford (GB), Golden Gate University (US), Cranfield University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Disaster Management and Resilience
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Structured AI decision-making in disaster management — Miguel Arana‐Catania, Naomi Greenwood, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS