Mean reversion and long memory dynamics in the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index

This paper deals with the investigation of the long memory properties of the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index for the time period from 16 October 2009 to 18 October 2024. Using fractional integration methods, we want to determine if shocks in the series have transitory or permanent effects. The results indicate that the series are very persistent when using the whole sample size with an order of integration above 1. However, if we separate three different subsamples, corresponding to the pre-Covid, Covid and post-Covid periods, we observe reversion to the mean in the pre-Covid period; however, during the Covid, there is a substantial increase in the value of d and turns decreasing after the pandemic.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Shipping and Trade
Published
2025-08-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s41072-025-00211-5
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Mean reversion and long memory dynamics in the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index

Gloria Claudio‐Quiroga, Luis A. Gil-Alaña, Andoni Maiza-Larrarte
Journal of Shipping and Trade
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
article

Mean reversion and long memory dynamics in the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index

Gloria Claudio‐Quiroga, Luis A. Gil-Alaña, Andoni Maiza-Larrarte
article en

Abstract

This paper deals with the investigation of the long memory properties of the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index for the time period from 16 October 2009 to 18 October 2024. Using fractional integration methods, we want to determine if shocks in the series have transitory or permanent effects. The results indicate that the series are very persistent when using the whole sample size with an order of integration above 1. However, if we separate three different subsamples, corresponding to the pre-Covid, Covid and post-Covid periods, we observe reversion to the mean in the pre-Covid period; however, during the Covid, there is a substantial increase in the value of d and turns decreasing after the pandemic.

Journal of Shipping and TradeVol. 10(1)
University of the Basque Country (ES), Universidad Francisco de Vitoria (ES), Universidad de Navarra (ES)
Ministerio de Asuntos Económicos y Transformación Digital, Gobierno de España
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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Mean reversion and long memory dynamics in the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index — Gloria Claudio‐Quiroga, Luis A. Gil-Alaña, et al. · Journal of Shipping and Trade (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS