The Relationship between Macroeconomic Indicators and Drug-Related Crimes: A Secondary Analysis of Provincial Statistics in Iran, 2011s
Drug crimes refer to the use, distribution, and sale of illegal and unauthorized drugs, which are punishable by the government and according to official laws.According to the country's official data, the rate of drug-related crimes has been increasing during the last decade, and this phenomenon has also increased along with the economic changes.This problem has experienced an increasing trend in the provinces of the country during the period 1390 to 1398, based on this, the main goal of the current research is to investigate the effect of macroeconomic indicators (1390-1398) on the increase in drug-related crimes during the decade of 1390.Research implementation method; It is a type of document based on the secondary analysis of the data of the Iranian Statistics Center and the country's status registration organization.analysis unit; provinces of the country and data analysis tools; The software was SPSS.The statistical population of the research is 31 provinces of the country, which were surveyed in the period of 2010-2018.The results of the regression model indicate that economic variables including inflation rate B=0.345, unemployment rate B=0.423 have a significant and direct effect on the trend of drug-related crimes, as well as economic participation rate B=0.338It has had an inverse and significant effect on the rate of drug-related crimes.In general, macroeconomic indicators have been able to explain and predict 0.460 B=0.460 of dependent variable changes in the period from 1390 to 1398.
Authors
- Taha Ashayeri (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8210-8899)
- Hossein Heidari (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3763-2429)
- Esmaeil Jahani Dolatabad
Institutions
- Academic Center for Education, Culture and Research (IR)
- University of Mohaghegh Ardabili (IR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Social Problems of Iran
- Published
- 2025-04-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.61882/jspi.16.2.87
- Primary Topic
- Employment and Welfare Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00