China’s Perilously Imbalanced Economic Success

China’s contemporary economic trajectory is paradoxical, marked by both extraordinary technological advancement and mounting macroeconomic vulnerabilities. China has achieved global leadership in advanced manufacturing sectors such as electric vehicles and batteries, and continues to innovate in fields like artificial intelligence. But these successes are offset by deepening financial and fiscal constraints, most visible in a real estate crisis, declining consumer confidence, and soaring local government debt. State-driven resource mobilization, closed financial institutions, and fiscal weakness have produced both global champions and massive inefficiencies. Fiscal reforms and financial modernization are required to translate industrial might into broad-based prosperity, but an authoritarian political structure will make this more challenging than earlier rounds of reforms.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Current History
Published
2025-08-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1525/curh.2025.124.863.203
Primary Topic
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

China’s Perilously Imbalanced Economic Success

Meg Rithmire
Current History
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
article

China’s Perilously Imbalanced Economic Success

Meg Rithmire
article en

Abstract

China’s contemporary economic trajectory is paradoxical, marked by both extraordinary technological advancement and mounting macroeconomic vulnerabilities. China has achieved global leadership in advanced manufacturing sectors such as electric vehicles and batteries, and continues to innovate in fields like artificial intelligence. But these successes are offset by deepening financial and fiscal constraints, most visible in a real estate crisis, declining consumer confidence, and soaring local government debt. State-driven resource mobilization, closed financial institutions, and fiscal weakness have produced both global champions and massive inefficiencies. Fiscal reforms and financial modernization are required to translate industrial might into broad-based prosperity, but an authoritarian political structure will make this more challenging than earlier rounds of reforms.

Current HistoryVol. 124(863)
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
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