An accumulation method for early fault warning and its application to wind turbine systems

Unexpected failures in engineering systems lead to expensive maintenance actions and should be avoided if at all possible. This is particularly true for wind turbine systems for which unexpected failures not only demand costly repairs but also cause long downtime. Motivated by this need, we present an accumulation method for fault early warning and failure anticipation. Our research shows that one critical element allowing the ability of early warning is to accumulate the small-magnitude symptoms resulting from gradual changes in an engineering system like wind turbines. Our idea is inspired by the classical cumulative sum method, or CUSUM, but we have to redesign the accumulation mechanism for tackling unique challenges in wind turbine data. The new accumulation method is applied to two real wind turbine datasets, one with gearbox failures and the other with generator failures, and demonstrates superior performance as compared with CUSUM.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Annals of Applied Statistics
Published
2025-08-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1214/25-aoas2063
Primary Topic
Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques
Type
article
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article

An accumulation method for early fault warning and its application to wind turbine systems

Shuangwen Sheng, Marianne Rodgers, Effi Latiffianti, Yu Ding et al.
The Annals of Applied Statistics
Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques
article

An accumulation method for early fault warning and its application to wind turbine systems

Shuangwen Sheng, Marianne Rodgers, Effi Latiffianti, Yu Ding, R. J. Sanderson
article en

Abstract

Unexpected failures in engineering systems lead to expensive maintenance actions and should be avoided if at all possible. This is particularly true for wind turbine systems for which unexpected failures not only demand costly repairs but also cause long downtime. Motivated by this need, we present an accumulation method for fault early warning and failure anticipation. Our research shows that one critical element allowing the ability of early warning is to accumulate the small-magnitude symptoms resulting from gradual changes in an engineering system like wind turbines. Our idea is inspired by the classical cumulative sum method, or CUSUM, but we have to redesign the accumulation mechanism for tackling unique challenges in wind turbine data. The new accumulation method is applied to two real wind turbine datasets, one with gearbox failures and the other with generator failures, and demonstrates superior performance as compared with CUSUM.

The Annals of Applied StatisticsVol. 19(3)
National Laboratory of the Rockies (US), Georgia Institute of Technology (US), Sepuluh Nopember Institute of Technology (ID), Wind Energy Institute of Canada (CA)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques
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An accumulation method for early fault warning and its application to wind turbine systems — Shuangwen Sheng, Marianne Rodgers, et al. · The Annals of Applied Statistics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS