Water Wars and Climate: Mapping the Geopolitical Flashpoints of River Basin Conflicts

Increasing climate variability and dwindling freshwater resources have intensified transboundary tensions, particularly in shared river basins. This study addresses the critical gap in understanding how climate-induced water stress exacerbates geopolitical conflicts. The primary objective is to identify and analyze global hotspots, "water wars" flashpoints, where climate change intersects with political, economic, and hydrological vulnerabilities. Using a mixed-methods approach combining geospatial mapping, conflict event datasets, and case study analysis, the study examines key river basins such as the Nile, Tigris-Euphrates, and Indus. Results likely reveal patterns where climate-driven scarcity, unequal access, and governance asymmetries heighten the risk of conflict. The study concludes that proactive diplomatic frameworks and adaptive water-sharing agreements are essential to prevent escalation. Its insights contribute to policy planning, environmental security studies, and climate adaptation strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Global Political Review
Published
2025-08-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31703/gpr.2025(x-iii).04
Primary Topic
Transboundary Water Resource Management
Type
article
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article

Water Wars and Climate: Mapping the Geopolitical Flashpoints of River Basin Conflicts

Muneeb Manzoor, Kainat Muhib, Syed Shameel Ahmed Quadri
Global Political Review
Transboundary Water Resource Management
article

Water Wars and Climate: Mapping the Geopolitical Flashpoints of River Basin Conflicts

Muneeb Manzoor, Kainat Muhib, Syed Shameel Ahmed Quadri
article en

Abstract

Increasing climate variability and dwindling freshwater resources have intensified transboundary tensions, particularly in shared river basins. This study addresses the critical gap in understanding how climate-induced water stress exacerbates geopolitical conflicts. The primary objective is to identify and analyze global hotspots, "water wars" flashpoints, where climate change intersects with political, economic, and hydrological vulnerabilities. Using a mixed-methods approach combining geospatial mapping, conflict event datasets, and case study analysis, the study examines key river basins such as the Nile, Tigris-Euphrates, and Indus. Results likely reveal patterns where climate-driven scarcity, unequal access, and governance asymmetries heighten the risk of conflict. The study concludes that proactive diplomatic frameworks and adaptive water-sharing agreements are essential to prevent escalation. Its insights contribute to policy planning, environmental security studies, and climate adaptation strategies.

Global Political ReviewVol. X(III)
University of Karachi (PK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Transboundary Water Resource Management
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Water Wars and Climate: Mapping the Geopolitical Flashpoints of River Basin Conflicts — Muneeb Manzoor, Kainat Muhib, et al. · Global Political Review (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS