Deep-Sea Convergence Zone Parameter Prediction with Non-Uniform Mixed-Layer Sound Speed Profiles

The deep-sea convergence zone (CZ) is a critical phenomenon for long-range underwater acoustic propagation. Accurate prediction of its distance, width, and gain is essential for enhancing sonar detection performance. However, conventional ray-tracing models, which assume vertically stratified sound speed profiles (SSPs), fail to account for horizontal sound speed gradients in the mixed layer, leading to significant prediction errors. To address this, we propose a novel ray-tracing model that incorporates horizontally inhomogeneous SSPs in the mixed layer. Our approach combines empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition with the Del Grosso sound speed formula to construct a continuous 3D sound speed field. We further derive a modified ray equation including horizontal gradient terms and solve it using a fourth-order Runge–Kutta method. Simulation and experimental validation in the South China Sea demonstrate that our model reduces the prediction error for the first CZ distance by 2.26%, width by 2.66%, and gain deviation by 5.85% compared to the Bellhop model. These results confirm the effectiveness of our method in improving CZ parameter prediction accuracy.