Modeling Urban-Vegetation Aboveground Carbon by Integrating Spectral–Textural Features with Tree Height and Canopy Cover Ratio Using Machine Learning

Accurately estimating aboveground carbon storage (AGC) of urban vegetation remains a major challenge, due to the heterogeneity and vertical complexity of urban environments, where traditional forest-based remote sensing models often perform poorly. This study integrates multimodal remote sensing data and incorporates two three-dimensional structural features—mean tree height (Hmean) and canopy cover ratio (CCR)—in addition to conventional spectral and textural variables. To minimize redundancy, the Boruta algorithm was applied for feature selection, and four machine learning models (SVR, RF, XGBoost, and CatBoost) were evaluated. Results demonstrate that under multimodal data fusion, three-dimensional features emerge as the dominant predictors, with XGBoost using Boruta-selected variables achieving the highest accuracy (R2 = 0.701, RMSE = 0.894 tC/400 m2). Spatial mapping of AGC revealed a “high-aggregation, low-dispersion” pattern, with the model performing best in large, continuous green spaces, while accuracy declined in fragmented or small-scale vegetation patches. Overall, this study highlights the potential of machine learning with multi-source variable inputs for fine-scale urban AGC estimation, emphasizes the importance of three-dimensional vegetation indicators, and provides practical insights for urban carbon assessment and green infrastructure planning.