Global phenology maps reveal the drivers and effects of seasonal asynchrony

Terrestrial plant communities show great variation in their annual rhythms of growth, or seasonal phenology<sup>1,2</sup>. The geographical patterns resulting from this variation, known as land surface phenology (LSP)<sup>3</sup>, contain valuable information for the study of ecosystem function<sup>4,5</sup>, plant ecophysiology<sup>6-8</sup>, landscape ecology<sup>9,10</sup> and evolutionary biogeography<sup>11-13</sup>. Yet globally consistent LSP mapping has been hampered by methods that struggle to represent the full range of seasonal phenologies occurring across terrestrial biomes<sup>14</sup>, especially the subtle and complex phenologies of many arid and tropical ecosystems<sup>1,15,16</sup>. Here, using a data-driven analysis of satellite imagery to map LSP worldwide, we provide insights into Earth's phenological diversity, documenting both intercontinental convergence between similar climates and regional heterogeneity associated with topoclimate, ecohydrology and vegetation structure. We then map spatial phenological asynchrony and the modes of asynchronous seasonality that control it, identifying hotspots of asynchrony in tropical mountains and Mediterranean climate regions and reporting evidence for the hypothesis that climatically similar sites exhibit greater phenological asynchrony within the tropics. Finally, we find that our global LSP map predicts complex geographical discontinuities in flowering phenology, genetic divergence and even harvest seasonality across a range of taxa, establishing remote sensing as a crucial tool for understanding the ecological and evolutionary consequences of allochrony by allopatry.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Nature
Published
2025-08-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09410-3
Citations
11
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
20.22
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Global phenology maps reveal the drivers and effects of seasonal asynchrony

Thảo-Nguyên Bùi, Ian Wang, Drew E. Terasaki Hart, Lauren Di Maggio
11 citations
Nature
Species Distribution and Climate Change
20.22
article

Global phenology maps reveal the drivers and effects of seasonal asynchrony

Thảo-Nguyên Bùi, Ian Wang, Drew E. Terasaki Hart, Lauren Di Maggio
article en
11 citations

Abstract

Terrestrial plant communities show great variation in their annual rhythms of growth, or seasonal phenology<sup>1,2</sup>. The geographical patterns resulting from this variation, known as land surface phenology (LSP)<sup>3</sup>, contain valuable information for the study of ecosystem function<sup>4,5</sup>, plant ecophysiology<sup>6-8</sup>, landscape ecology<sup>9,10</sup> and evolutionary biogeography<sup>11-13</sup>. Yet globally consistent LSP mapping has been hampered by methods that struggle to represent the full range of seasonal phenologies occurring across terrestrial biomes<sup>14</sup>, especially the subtle and complex phenologies of many arid and tropical ecosystems<sup>1,15,16</sup>. Here, using a data-driven analysis of satellite imagery to map LSP worldwide, we provide insights into Earth's phenological diversity, documenting both intercontinental convergence between similar climates and regional heterogeneity associated with topoclimate, ecohydrology and vegetation structure. We then map spatial phenological asynchrony and the modes of asynchronous seasonality that control it, identifying hotspots of asynchrony in tropical mountains and Mediterranean climate regions and reporting evidence for the hypothesis that climatically similar sites exhibit greater phenological asynchrony within the tropics. Finally, we find that our global LSP map predicts complex geographical discontinuities in flowering phenology, genetic divergence and even harvest seasonality across a range of taxa, establishing remote sensing as a crucial tool for understanding the ecological and evolutionary consequences of allochrony by allopatry.

NatureVol. 645(8079)
The Nature Conservancy (US), Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (AU), University of California, Berkeley (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
20.22
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Global phenology maps reveal the drivers and effects of seasonal asynchrony — Thảo-Nguyên Bùi, Ian Wang, et al. · Nature (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS