Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Spatiotemporal Contrastive Learning

With the accelerating global energy transition, wind power has become a core pillar of renewable energy systems. However, its inherent intermittency and volatility pose significant challenges to the safe, stable, and economical operation of power grids—making ultra-short-term wind power prediction a critical technical link in optimizing grid scheduling and promoting large-scale wind power integration. Current forecasting techniques are plagued by problems like the inadequate representation of features, the poor separation of features, and the challenging clarity of deep learning models. This study introduces a method for the prediction of wind energy using spatiotemporal contrastive learning, employing seasonal trend decomposition to encapsulate the diverse characteristics of time series. A contrastive learning framework and a feature disentanglement loss function are employed to effectively decouple spatiotemporal features. Data on geographical positions are integrated to simulate spatial correlations, and a convolutional network of spatiotemporal graphs, integrated with a multi-head attention system, is crafted to improve the clarity. The proposed method is validated using operational data from two actual wind farms in Northwestern China. The research indicates that, compared with typical baselines (e.g., STGCN), this method reduces the RMSE by up to 38.47% and the MAE by up to 44.71% for ultra-short-term wind power prediction, markedly enhancing the prediction precision and offering a more efficient way to forecast wind power.