International Debt Statistics Analysis Using a Multiple Linear Regression Model

This study uses multiple linear regression to analyze the factors that influence a nation's foreign debt. The study looks for important indicators of a nation's external debt using a dataset of economic data, including GDP growth, inflation rate, trade balance, interest rates, and foreign direct investment.Based on data from a representative sample of countries over the past 20 years, the research offers insights into both industrialized and emerging economies. Results show that while GDP growth has a moderating effect, higher inflation and trade deficits are consistently associated with larger external debt.The model highlights the intricacies of international financing and finds a statistically significant relationship between the selected factors and foreign debt. In a globalized financial environment,these observations provide crucial information for policymakers seeking to influence economic policy and control manageable debt levels.

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Publication Details

Journal
Indian Journal of Computer Science and Technology
Published
2025-08-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.59256/indjcst.20250402047
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

International Debt Statistics Analysis Using a Multiple Linear Regression Model

Carlos Humberto Paván, C Y Gu, Avadhut Kolekar
Indian Journal of Computer Science and Technology
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

International Debt Statistics Analysis Using a Multiple Linear Regression Model

Carlos Humberto Paván, C Y Gu, Avadhut Kolekar
article en

Abstract

This study uses multiple linear regression to analyze the factors that influence a nation's foreign debt. The study looks for important indicators of a nation's external debt using a dataset of economic data, including GDP growth, inflation rate, trade balance, interest rates, and foreign direct investment.Based on data from a representative sample of countries over the past 20 years, the research offers insights into both industrialized and emerging economies. Results show that while GDP growth has a moderating effect, higher inflation and trade deficits are consistently associated with larger external debt.The model highlights the intricacies of international financing and finds a statistically significant relationship between the selected factors and foreign debt. In a globalized financial environment,these observations provide crucial information for policymakers seeking to influence economic policy and control manageable debt levels.

Indian Journal of Computer Science and Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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International Debt Statistics Analysis Using a Multiple Linear Regression Model — Carlos Humberto Paván, C Y Gu, et al. · Indian Journal of Computer Science and Technology (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS