Risk Factors for One-Year Postdischarge Mortality: An Analysis From the World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery

<b>Background:</b> The World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery (WDPCHS) was utilized to define the incidence of one-year mortality and identify associated risk factors following surgery for congenital heart disease. <b>Methods:</b> The WDPCHS was queried from January 2017 to September 2022 for all tier 1 surgeries submitted to the database. Out-of-hospital death was defined as a death between 30 days postoperatively and up to one year. Preoperative risk factors and other demographics were evaluated. Chi-square test was used to evaluate associations, a multivariable logistic regression model was performed and the <i>P</i> value for statistical significance was set at <.05. <b>Results:</b> Among 9764 patients alive at hospital discharge (or 30 days), overall, one-year mortality was 1.47% (n = 144). Mortality was highest in STAT 5, 22.88% (27/118) (<i>P</i> < .0001). Risk factors with a higher incidence of one-year mortality included: non-Trisomy 21 genetic syndromes 6.38% (18/282), more than three preoperative risk factors 12.12% (16/132), more than three postoperative complications 9.81% (37/377) all <i>P</i> < .0001. Highest mortality by procedure was seen with the Norwood procedure 22.88% (27/118) and truncus arteriosus repair 8.97% (7/78), both <i>P</i> < .0001. By multivariable analysis, the risk of one-year mortality remained significantly higher with more than three preoperative risk factors (OR 5.85, 95% CI 3.12-10.96), non-Trisomy 21 chromosomal abnormalities (OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.75-5.29), and STAT 5 cases (OR 28.4, 95% CI 15.02-53.71). <b>Conclusions:</b> Based on these findings, there are certain risk factors (multiple preoperative risk factors, chromosomal abnormalities, STAT 5 category) that warrant targeted increased surveillance to improve one-year outcomes.

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Journal
World Journal for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery
Published
2025-08-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/21501351251360692
Primary Topic
Congenital Heart Disease Studies
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article
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article

Risk Factors for One-Year Postdischarge Mortality: An Analysis From the World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery

Ignacio Juaneda, Brian P. Bateson, Nguyen Ly Thinh Truong, Ryan S. Cantor et al.
World Journal for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery
Congenital Heart Disease Studies
article

Risk Factors for One-Year Postdischarge Mortality: An Analysis From the World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery

Ignacio Juaneda, Brian P. Bateson, Nguyen Ly Thinh Truong, Ryan S. Cantor, James K. Kirklin, Cheul Lee, Brandon A. Singletary, Jorge Cervantes, James D. St. Louis, Erle H. Austin, Sivakumar Sivalingam
article en

Abstract

<b>Background:</b> The World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery (WDPCHS) was utilized to define the incidence of one-year mortality and identify associated risk factors following surgery for congenital heart disease. <b>Methods:</b> The WDPCHS was queried from January 2017 to September 2022 for all tier 1 surgeries submitted to the database. Out-of-hospital death was defined as a death between 30 days postoperatively and up to one year. Preoperative risk factors and other demographics were evaluated. Chi-square test was used to evaluate associations, a multivariable logistic regression model was performed and the <i>P</i> value for statistical significance was set at <.05. <b>Results:</b> Among 9764 patients alive at hospital discharge (or 30 days), overall, one-year mortality was 1.47% (n = 144). Mortality was highest in STAT 5, 22.88% (27/118) (<i>P</i> < .0001). Risk factors with a higher incidence of one-year mortality included: non-Trisomy 21 genetic syndromes 6.38% (18/282), more than three preoperative risk factors 12.12% (16/132), more than three postoperative complications 9.81% (37/377) all <i>P</i> < .0001. Highest mortality by procedure was seen with the Norwood procedure 22.88% (27/118) and truncus arteriosus repair 8.97% (7/78), both <i>P</i> < .0001. By multivariable analysis, the risk of one-year mortality remained significantly higher with more than three preoperative risk factors (OR 5.85, 95% CI 3.12-10.96), non-Trisomy 21 chromosomal abnormalities (OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.75-5.29), and STAT 5 cases (OR 28.4, 95% CI 15.02-53.71). <b>Conclusions:</b> Based on these findings, there are certain risk factors (multiple preoperative risk factors, chromosomal abnormalities, STAT 5 category) that warrant targeted increased surveillance to improve one-year outcomes.

World Journal for Pediatric and Congenital Heart SurgeryVol. 17(2)
University of Louisville (US), Augusta University (US), Augusta University Health (US), Kirklin Clinic (US), National Heart Institute (MY), Vietnam National Children's Hospital (VN), University of Louisville Hospital (US), Hospital Privado (AR), Instituto Nacional de Cardiología (MX), The Catholic University of Korea Seoul St. Mary's Hospital (KR), Catholic University of Korea (KR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Congenital Heart Disease Studies
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