Risk Factors for One-Year Postdischarge Mortality: An Analysis From the World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery
<b>Background:</b> The World Database for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery (WDPCHS) was utilized to define the incidence of one-year mortality and identify associated risk factors following surgery for congenital heart disease. <b>Methods:</b> The WDPCHS was queried from January 2017 to September 2022 for all tier 1 surgeries submitted to the database. Out-of-hospital death was defined as a death between 30 days postoperatively and up to one year. Preoperative risk factors and other demographics were evaluated. Chi-square test was used to evaluate associations, a multivariable logistic regression model was performed and the <i>P</i> value for statistical significance was set at <.05. <b>Results:</b> Among 9764 patients alive at hospital discharge (or 30 days), overall, one-year mortality was 1.47% (n = 144). Mortality was highest in STAT 5, 22.88% (27/118) (<i>P</i> < .0001). Risk factors with a higher incidence of one-year mortality included: non-Trisomy 21 genetic syndromes 6.38% (18/282), more than three preoperative risk factors 12.12% (16/132), more than three postoperative complications 9.81% (37/377) all <i>P</i> < .0001. Highest mortality by procedure was seen with the Norwood procedure 22.88% (27/118) and truncus arteriosus repair 8.97% (7/78), both <i>P</i> < .0001. By multivariable analysis, the risk of one-year mortality remained significantly higher with more than three preoperative risk factors (OR 5.85, 95% CI 3.12-10.96), non-Trisomy 21 chromosomal abnormalities (OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.75-5.29), and STAT 5 cases (OR 28.4, 95% CI 15.02-53.71). <b>Conclusions:</b> Based on these findings, there are certain risk factors (multiple preoperative risk factors, chromosomal abnormalities, STAT 5 category) that warrant targeted increased surveillance to improve one-year outcomes.
Authors
- Ignacio Juaneda (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5985-4305)
- Brian P. Bateson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9798-1172)
- Nguyen Ly Thinh Truong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1858-1523)
- Ryan S. Cantor (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3102-2638)
- James K. Kirklin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7861-3267)
- Cheul Lee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7772-7035)
- Brandon A. Singletary (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9821-3324)
- Jorge Cervantes (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4359-5951)
- James D. St. Louis (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7389-359X)
- Erle H. Austin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9382-2369)
- Sivakumar Sivalingam (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7913-8701)
Institutions
- University of Louisville (US)
- Augusta University (US)
- Augusta University Health (US)
- Kirklin Clinic (US)
- National Heart Institute (MY)
- Vietnam National Children's Hospital (VN)
- University of Louisville Hospital (US)
- Hospital Privado (AR)
- Instituto Nacional de Cardiología (MX)
- The Catholic University of Korea Seoul St. Mary's Hospital (KR)
- Catholic University of Korea (KR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- World Journal for Pediatric and Congenital Heart Surgery
- Published
- 2025-08-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1177/21501351251360692
- Primary Topic
- Congenital Heart Disease Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00