How Does Inflation Rate and GDP Growth Rate vary across countries?

Central banks worldwide aim to maintain a target inflation rate of 2 %, especially during recessionary periods defined by two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. However, undesirable inflation rates emerged following significant global events such as the 2008 - 09 Global Financial Crisis and the COVID -19 recession, raising questions about the correlation between inflation and recession. This study investigates the relationship between inflation rates and recessions across countries with varying levels of GDP per capita, using data from the World Bank spanning from 1980 to 2022 to perform correlation calculations and analysis. The findings indicate that this correlation is not uniform but varies significantly depending on a country’s level of economic development, suggesting that less developed economies might experience a stronger linkage between these two variables. Understanding these variations is crucial for the development of more effective macroeconomic policies that aim to stabilize inflation and foster sustainable economic growth, particularly in economically vulnerable nations.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Student Research
Published
2025-02-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.47611/jsrhs.v14i1.8640
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

How Does Inflation Rate and GDP Growth Rate vary across countries?

Michelle Lee, Cehyun Elgin
Journal of Student Research
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

How Does Inflation Rate and GDP Growth Rate vary across countries?

Michelle Lee, Cehyun Elgin
article en

Abstract

Central banks worldwide aim to maintain a target inflation rate of 2 %, especially during recessionary periods defined by two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. However, undesirable inflation rates emerged following significant global events such as the 2008 - 09 Global Financial Crisis and the COVID -19 recession, raising questions about the correlation between inflation and recession. This study investigates the relationship between inflation rates and recessions across countries with varying levels of GDP per capita, using data from the World Bank spanning from 1980 to 2022 to perform correlation calculations and analysis. The findings indicate that this correlation is not uniform but varies significantly depending on a country’s level of economic development, suggesting that less developed economies might experience a stronger linkage between these two variables. Understanding these variations is crucial for the development of more effective macroeconomic policies that aim to stabilize inflation and foster sustainable economic growth, particularly in economically vulnerable nations.

Journal of Student ResearchVol. 14(1)
South Downs College (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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