Wastewater as an early indicator for short-term forecasting COVID-19 hospitalization in Germany

This study reinforces the potential of wastewater surveillance as an early warning tool for COVID-19 hospitalizations in Germany. While strong correlations were observed, the integration of wastewater data into predictive models did not improve their performance. Nevertheless, wastewater viral load serves as a valuable indicator for monitoring pandemic trends, suggesting its utility in public health surveillance and resource allocation. Further research may help to clarify the real-time applicability of wastewater data and expand its use to other pathogens and data sources.

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Publication Details

Journal
BMC Public Health
Published
2025-08-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-24149-2
Citations
2
Primary Topic
SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.79
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article

Wastewater as an early indicator for short-term forecasting COVID-19 hospitalization in Germany

Steffen Thiel, Aimo Kannt, Holger Fröhlich, Jonas Botz
2 citations
BMC Public Health
SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing
2.79
article

Wastewater as an early indicator for short-term forecasting COVID-19 hospitalization in Germany

Steffen Thiel, Aimo Kannt, Holger Fröhlich, Jonas Botz
article en
2 citations

Abstract

This study reinforces the potential of wastewater surveillance as an early warning tool for COVID-19 hospitalizations in Germany. While strong correlations were observed, the integration of wastewater data into predictive models did not improve their performance. Nevertheless, wastewater viral load serves as a valuable indicator for monitoring pandemic trends, suggesting its utility in public health surveillance and resource allocation. Further research may help to clarify the real-time applicability of wastewater data and expand its use to other pathogens and data sources.

BMC Public HealthVol. 25(1)
Goethe University Frankfurt (DE), Hochschule Bonn-Rhein-Sieg (DE), Fraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (DE), Fraunhofer Institute for Translational Medicine and Pharmacology (DE), Bonn Aachen International Center for Information Technology (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing
2.79
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Wastewater as an early indicator for short-term forecasting COVID-19 hospitalization in Germany — Steffen Thiel, Aimo Kannt, et al. · BMC Public Health (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS