A Study on the Effect of Surveillance Capability on Kill Probability Using Markov Chains

This study investigates the impact of surveillance capability on the effectiveness of weapon system operations using a Markov chain-based combat model. As modern military operations increasingly rely on advanced surveillance technology, the ability to accurately identify targets plays a crucial role in resource allocation and strategic decision-making. This research analyzes how, when weapon systems exhibit high accuracy, improvements in surveillance identification significantly reduce mission completion time by curtailing unnecessary firing thereby decreasing overall ammunition waste. These results imply that in high precision weapon systems, the performance of surveillance equipment plays a critical role in minimizing operational delays and resource wastage. Consequently, for systems with high hit rates, prioritizing enhancements in surveillance accuracy is essential for optimizing overall operational effectiveness and ensuring prompt mission completion.