A qualitative evaluation of the differences in risk/reward profiles for project finance in the development of a typical porphyry copper deposit compared with a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit

Abstract Project finance is becoming an increasingly popular tool in the mining sector as miners look for more alternative methods of funding extraction projects. Unlike traditional corporate finance, project finance allows borrowers to isolate debt to a specific project and insulate related corporate entities from the risks associated with developing a new deposit. This makes the risk reward profile of the project paramount from both a borrowing and a lending perspective. This paper considers how risk/reward profiles are derived and constrained for a typical porphyry copper deposit (PCD) project and a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit (DKD) project. Feasibility in terms of risk and reward is analysed for the four main stages of each hypothetical project (deposit, construction, production, final market/sale of commodity). It is concluded that there is a notably more constrained risk/reward profile for a PCD deposit than a DKD deposit. Despite DKD projects having greater upside potential, project finance for a PCD deposit is considered safer and therefore more favourable from the perspective of a lender.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mineral Economics
Published
2025-08-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13563-025-00532-8
Primary Topic
Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
Type
article
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article

A qualitative evaluation of the differences in risk/reward profiles for project finance in the development of a typical porphyry copper deposit compared with a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit

Alexander Cunningham
Mineral Economics
Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
article

A qualitative evaluation of the differences in risk/reward profiles for project finance in the development of a typical porphyry copper deposit compared with a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit

Alexander Cunningham
article en

Abstract

Abstract Project finance is becoming an increasingly popular tool in the mining sector as miners look for more alternative methods of funding extraction projects. Unlike traditional corporate finance, project finance allows borrowers to isolate debt to a specific project and insulate related corporate entities from the risks associated with developing a new deposit. This makes the risk reward profile of the project paramount from both a borrowing and a lending perspective. This paper considers how risk/reward profiles are derived and constrained for a typical porphyry copper deposit (PCD) project and a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit (DKD) project. Feasibility in terms of risk and reward is analysed for the four main stages of each hypothetical project (deposit, construction, production, final market/sale of commodity). It is concluded that there is a notably more constrained risk/reward profile for a PCD deposit than a DKD deposit. Despite DKD projects having greater upside potential, project finance for a PCD deposit is considered safer and therefore more favourable from the perspective of a lender.

Mineral EconomicsVol. 38(3)
University of Dundee (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
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A qualitative evaluation of the differences in risk/reward profiles for project finance in the development of a typical porphyry copper deposit compared with a typical diamondiferous kimberlite deposit — Alexander Cunningham · Mineral Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS