Dynamic capacity investment and debt financing

It is common for companies to conduct multiple capacity expansions in a growing market. In this article, we study how firms make optimal multi-stage investment timing, scale, and capital structure decisions in the context of multiple growth options and existing assets. We show that with multiple growth options, a levered firm accelerates the timing and reduces the scale of investment at each stage relative to an unlevered firm. We also show that as the number of growth options increases, future growth options can reduce the initial investment scale and accelerate the initial investment timing. The effect of scale reduction at the initial investment stage is more pronounced for levered firms relative to unlevered firms. Furthermore, for firms with no fewer than three investment options, the optimal leverage ratio in each stage first decreases and then increases as the investment options are exercised, the U-shape in borrowing shows the balance between early caution and late-stage boldness in multi-stage financing.

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Publication Details

Journal
Quantitative Finance
Published
2026-09-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2026.2709673
Primary Topic
Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Dynamic capacity investment and debt financing

Biao Chen, Michi Nishihara, Chuanqian Zhang, Junjie Liu
1 links
Quantitative Finance
Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
article

Dynamic capacity investment and debt financing

Biao Chen, Michi Nishihara, Chuanqian Zhang, Junjie Liu
article en

Abstract

It is common for companies to conduct multiple capacity expansions in a growing market. In this article, we study how firms make optimal multi-stage investment timing, scale, and capital structure decisions in the context of multiple growth options and existing assets. We show that with multiple growth options, a levered firm accelerates the timing and reduces the scale of investment at each stage relative to an unlevered firm. We also show that as the number of growth options increases, future growth options can reduce the initial investment scale and accelerate the initial investment timing. The effect of scale reduction at the initial investment stage is more pronounced for levered firms relative to unlevered firms. Furthermore, for firms with no fewer than three investment options, the optimal leverage ratio in each stage first decreases and then increases as the investment options are exercised, the U-shape in borrowing shows the balance between early caution and late-stage boldness in multi-stage financing.

Quantitative Finance
William Paterson University (US), Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (CN), Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (CN), The University of Osaka (JP)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
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