Adaptive and Robust Distribution System State Estimator Handling Unknown Noise Statistics

State estimation (SE) is a vital monitoring tool for active distribution networks (ADNs). Conventional cubature Kalman filter (CKF)-based ADN-SE delivers deteriorated estimates due to fast state variations caused by intermittency in injections from distributed energy resources (DERs). With the nature of DER outputs being unknown, the process noise covariance (<inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathbf {Q}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) adaptation is essential, and Q-scaled adaptive CKF (QS-CKF) is initially proposed for forecasting aided ADN-SE to deliver improved accuracy. Thereafter, performance assessment with unknown non-Gaussian measurement noise statistics using QS-CKF indicates an inferior accuracy. To overcome this limitation, a Mahalanobis distance (MD)-based outlier detection and robustification of QS-CKF (RQS-CKF) is proposed, where the outliers are detected via MD criterion, and robustness is achieved by measurement noise covariance (<inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathbf {R}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) inflation. The scaling factor for inflating <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathbf {R}$</tex-math></inline-formula> remains unknown initially and is determined via Newton’s method, which is also numerically stable for different non-Gaussian noise distributions. Testing these estimators on IEEE benchmark systems reveals that RQS-CKF delivers fast and superior estimates, thereby ensuring adaptability and robustness.

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Journal
IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
Published
2025-08-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/tii.2025.3593914
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Adaptive and Robust Distribution System State Estimator Handling Unknown Noise Statistics

Abheejeet Mohapatra, Saikat Chakrabarti, Sayantan Chatterjee
IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Adaptive and Robust Distribution System State Estimator Handling Unknown Noise Statistics

Abheejeet Mohapatra, Saikat Chakrabarti, Sayantan Chatterjee
article en

Abstract

State estimation (SE) is a vital monitoring tool for active distribution networks (ADNs). Conventional cubature Kalman filter (CKF)-based ADN-SE delivers deteriorated estimates due to fast state variations caused by intermittency in injections from distributed energy resources (DERs). With the nature of DER outputs being unknown, the process noise covariance (<inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathbf {Q}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) adaptation is essential, and Q-scaled adaptive CKF (QS-CKF) is initially proposed for forecasting aided ADN-SE to deliver improved accuracy. Thereafter, performance assessment with unknown non-Gaussian measurement noise statistics using QS-CKF indicates an inferior accuracy. To overcome this limitation, a Mahalanobis distance (MD)-based outlier detection and robustification of QS-CKF (RQS-CKF) is proposed, where the outliers are detected via MD criterion, and robustness is achieved by measurement noise covariance (<inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathbf {R}$</tex-math></inline-formula>) inflation. The scaling factor for inflating <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\mathbf {R}$</tex-math></inline-formula> remains unknown initially and is determined via Newton’s method, which is also numerically stable for different non-Gaussian noise distributions. Testing these estimators on IEEE benchmark systems reveals that RQS-CKF delivers fast and superior estimates, thereby ensuring adaptability and robustness.

IEEE Transactions on Industrial InformaticsVol. 21(11)
Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur (IN)
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Openalex Percentile: Top 79%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Adaptive and Robust Distribution System State Estimator Handling Unknown Noise Statistics — Abheejeet Mohapatra, Saikat Chakrabarti, et al. · IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS