Option pricing with a two-piece lognormal distribution

We derive a closed-form European option pricing model in a discrete-time utility-based setting where the underlying asset has a two-piece lognormal distribution. In our set-up, the market does not have to be dynamically complete, which makes our model applicable even in cases in which the underlying asset is illiquid. The two-piece lognormal distribution results from joining two opposite halves of two distinct lognormal distributions, where each half has a different scale parameter. Hence, it is possible to adjust the tails of the distributions to accommodate the implied volatility of in-the-money and out-of-the-money options. We show that our option pricing equation can generate several types of volatility patterns and therefore can be used to price a wide range of assets. • Propose a new option pricing model based on a two-piece lognormal distribution. • The model is derived in a discrete-time utility-based frame- work - markets do not need to be dynamically complete. • The model can capture different volatility patterns and volatility skews. • The empirical exercise shows that our model provides a good fit to market data.

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Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2025-08-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.108120
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Option pricing with a two-piece lognormal distribution

Luiz Vitiello, M. Magdalena Vich-Llompart
Finance research letters
Stochastic processes and financial applications
article

Option pricing with a two-piece lognormal distribution

Luiz Vitiello, M. Magdalena Vich-Llompart
article en

Abstract

We derive a closed-form European option pricing model in a discrete-time utility-based setting where the underlying asset has a two-piece lognormal distribution. In our set-up, the market does not have to be dynamically complete, which makes our model applicable even in cases in which the underlying asset is illiquid. The two-piece lognormal distribution results from joining two opposite halves of two distinct lognormal distributions, where each half has a different scale parameter. Hence, it is possible to adjust the tails of the distributions to accommodate the implied volatility of in-the-money and out-of-the-money options. We show that our option pricing equation can generate several types of volatility patterns and therefore can be used to price a wide range of assets. • Propose a new option pricing model based on a two-piece lognormal distribution. • The model is derived in a discrete-time utility-based frame- work - markets do not need to be dynamically complete. • The model can capture different volatility patterns and volatility skews. • The empirical exercise shows that our model provides a good fit to market data.

Finance research lettersVol. 85
University of Essex (GB), Washington College (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Stochastic processes and financial applications
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