Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility

Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies . The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003) and Perea (2025a) , that every player holds a conditional preference relation – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Theory
Published
2025-08-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2025.106067
Primary Topic
Game Theory and Applications
Type
article
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article

Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility

Andrés Perea
Journal of Economic Theory
Game Theory and Applications
article

Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility

Andrés Perea
article en

Abstract

Within dynamic games we are interested in conditions on the players' preferences that imply dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies . The latter means that the strategy is optimal at each of the player's information sets, given his beliefs there. To explore these properties we assume, following Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003) and Perea (2025a) , that every player holds a conditional preference relation – a mapping that assigns to every probabilistic belief about the opponents' strategies a preference relation over his own strategies. We identify sets of very basic conditions on the conditional preference relations that guarantee dynamic consistency and the existence of sequentially optimal strategies, respectively. These conditions are implied by, but are much weaker than, assuming expected utility. Moreover, it is shown that non-expected utility is compatible with dynamic consistency and consequentialism in our framework.

Journal of Economic TheoryVol. 229
Quantitative BioSciences (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Game Theory and Applications
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