Prices of Risk Estimation for Commodity Factors
ABSTRACT This study investigates the prices of risk in cross‐sectional commodity futures portfolios using a three‐pass regression approach that is robust to model specification. We find that the prices of risk for commodity basis and value factors are important, with values of 1.2% and 2.0% per month, respectively. Moreover, we observe that the commodity factors do not price cross‐sectional equity portfolios, resulting in a combination of the equity market and commodity factor portfolios achieving a high Sharpe ratio. Additionally, we demonstrate that the equity market factor has recently become more strongly associated with the cross‐sectional commodity futures portfolios, suggesting the effects of financialization.
Authors
- Kei Nakagawa (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5046-8128)
- Ryuta Sakemoto (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7050-953X)
Institutions
- Hokkaido University of Science (JP)
- Hokkaido University of Education (JP)
- Hokkaido University (JP)
- Tokyo Metropolitan University (JP)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Futures Markets
- Published
- 2025-08-22
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.70032
- Primary Topic
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00