N-HiTS Based Tree Barrier Distance Forecasting Method for Enhancing Safety of Electrical Systems

The rapid growth of trees in proximity to overhead electrical lines poses a significant risk to the safe and reliable delivery of electricity services by utility companies. The challenge lies in accurately monitoring and predicting the distance between power lines and surrounding trees, as this distance is crucial for preventing power outages and maintaining system integrity. In this paper, we propose a novel distance forecasting method based on the N-HiTS algorithm, which effectively captures the complex temporal dynamics of tree growth patterns. Specifically, our method leverages hierarchical time series forecasting to enhance the prediction accuracy of tree-barrier distances, integrating historical growth data and environmental factors that influence tree development. Experimental results demonstrate that the N-HiTSbased method outperforms traditional forecasting techniques in terms of accuracy and reliability. The results indicate a significant reduction in forecasting errors, providing utility companies with a valuable tool for proactive vegetation management and improved safety of electrical systems.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iaecst64597.2024.11117977
Primary Topic
Advanced Decision-Making Techniques
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article
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article

N-HiTS Based Tree Barrier Distance Forecasting Method for Enhancing Safety of Electrical Systems

Fengwei Sun, Hui Ma, Changxin Ge, Jinwei Hao
Advanced Decision-Making Techniques
article

N-HiTS Based Tree Barrier Distance Forecasting Method for Enhancing Safety of Electrical Systems

Fengwei Sun, Hui Ma, Changxin Ge, Jinwei Hao
article en

Abstract

The rapid growth of trees in proximity to overhead electrical lines poses a significant risk to the safe and reliable delivery of electricity services by utility companies. The challenge lies in accurately monitoring and predicting the distance between power lines and surrounding trees, as this distance is crucial for preventing power outages and maintaining system integrity. In this paper, we propose a novel distance forecasting method based on the N-HiTS algorithm, which effectively captures the complex temporal dynamics of tree growth patterns. Specifically, our method leverages hierarchical time series forecasting to enhance the prediction accuracy of tree-barrier distances, integrating historical growth data and environmental factors that influence tree development. Experimental results demonstrate that the N-HiTSbased method outperforms traditional forecasting techniques in terms of accuracy and reliability. The results indicate a significant reduction in forecasting errors, providing utility companies with a valuable tool for proactive vegetation management and improved safety of electrical systems.

Shanghai Electric (China) (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Advanced Decision-Making Techniques
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N-HiTS Based Tree Barrier Distance Forecasting Method for Enhancing Safety of Electrical Systems — Fengwei Sun, Hui Ma, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS