Extraction of Key Factors and Construction of Probability Model for Mountain Fire Tripping of Transmission Lines

With the continuous application of large capacity and long-distance cross regional transmission lines, the line corridors are gradually extending to areas prone to wildfires, leading to an increase in tripping accidents. In order to reduce the risk of transmission line tripping under mountain fire disasters, improve the efficiency and pertinence of mountain fire disaster prevention and control, this paper takes transmission lines as the research object (the research sample includes 406 mountain fire records in transmission corridors and 38 mountain fire induced tripping records), establishes a mountain fire scene simulation model for transmission lines, extracts the key influencing factors of mountain fire induced line tripping, and constructs a mountain fire tripping risk assessment model and a multi-step intelligent prediction model based on machine learning algorithms to improve the safety and reliability of power grid transmission line operation under existing small sample conditions.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iaecst64597.2024.11117762
Primary Topic
Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics
Type
article
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Extraction of Key Factors and Construction of Probability Model for Mountain Fire Tripping of Transmission Lines

Hong Xiang, Yu Fang, Zhaobin Sun, Xin Zhu et al.
Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics
article

Extraction of Key Factors and Construction of Probability Model for Mountain Fire Tripping of Transmission Lines

Hong Xiang, Yu Fang, Zhaobin Sun, Xin Zhu, Wei Liu, Xi Liu, Yicen Liu, Yuyan Huang, Xiaojiang Liu
article en

Abstract

With the continuous application of large capacity and long-distance cross regional transmission lines, the line corridors are gradually extending to areas prone to wildfires, leading to an increase in tripping accidents. In order to reduce the risk of transmission line tripping under mountain fire disasters, improve the efficiency and pertinence of mountain fire disaster prevention and control, this paper takes transmission lines as the research object (the research sample includes 406 mountain fire records in transmission corridors and 38 mountain fire induced tripping records), establishes a mountain fire scene simulation model for transmission lines, extracts the key influencing factors of mountain fire induced line tripping, and constructs a mountain fire tripping risk assessment model and a multi-step intelligent prediction model based on machine learning algorithms to improve the safety and reliability of power grid transmission line operation under existing small sample conditions.

Electric Power Research Institute (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 61%
Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics
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