Machine Learning Applied to Professional Football: Performance Improvement and Results Prediction

This paper examines the integration of machine learning (ML) techniques in professional football, focusing on two key areas: (i) player and team performance, and (ii) match outcome prediction. Using a systematic methodology, this study reviews 172 papers from a five-year observation period (2019–2024) to identify relevant applications, focusing on the analysis of game actions (free kicks, passes, and penalties), individual and collective performance, and player position. A predominance of supervised learning, deep learning, and hybrid models (which integrate several ML techniques) is observed in the ML categories. Among the most widely used algorithms are decision trees, extreme gradient boosting, and artificial neural networks, which focus on optimizing sports performance and predicting outcomes. This paper discusses challenges such as the limited availability of public datasets due to access and cost restrictions, the restricted use of advanced visualization tools, and the poor integration of data acquisition devices, such as sensors. However, it also highlights the role of ML in addressing these challenges, thereby representing future research opportunities. Furthermore, this paper includes two illustrative case studies: (i) predicting the date Cristiano Ronaldo will reach 1000 goals, and (ii) an example of predicting penalty shoots; these examples demonstrate the practical potential of ML for performance monitoring and tactical decision-making in real-world football environments.

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Publication Details

Journal
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Published
2025-08-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/make7030085
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Machine Learning Applied to Professional Football: Performance Improvement and Results Prediction

Robin Álvarez, Christian Tipantuña, Xavier Calderón, Diego Moya et al.
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Sports Analytics and Performance
article

Machine Learning Applied to Professional Football: Performance Improvement and Results Prediction

Robin Álvarez, Christian Tipantuña, Xavier Calderón, Diego Moya, Génesis Villa, Belén Rivadeneira
article en

Abstract

This paper examines the integration of machine learning (ML) techniques in professional football, focusing on two key areas: (i) player and team performance, and (ii) match outcome prediction. Using a systematic methodology, this study reviews 172 papers from a five-year observation period (2019–2024) to identify relevant applications, focusing on the analysis of game actions (free kicks, passes, and penalties), individual and collective performance, and player position. A predominance of supervised learning, deep learning, and hybrid models (which integrate several ML techniques) is observed in the ML categories. Among the most widely used algorithms are decision trees, extreme gradient boosting, and artificial neural networks, which focus on optimizing sports performance and predicting outcomes. This paper discusses challenges such as the limited availability of public datasets due to access and cost restrictions, the restricted use of advanced visualization tools, and the poor integration of data acquisition devices, such as sensors. However, it also highlights the role of ML in addressing these challenges, thereby representing future research opportunities. Furthermore, this paper includes two illustrative case studies: (i) predicting the date Cristiano Ronaldo will reach 1000 goals, and (ii) an example of predicting penalty shoots; these examples demonstrate the practical potential of ML for performance monitoring and tactical decision-making in real-world football environments.

Machine Learning and Knowledge ExtractionVol. 7(3)
Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Ecuador (EC), National Polytechnic School (EC)
Escuela Politécnica Nacional
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Sports Analytics and Performance
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Machine Learning Applied to Professional Football: Performance Improvement and Results Prediction — Robin Álvarez, Christian Tipantuña, et al. · Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS