“Crisis in the Cup:” Unveiling the Hazards and Vulnerabilities of the Philippine Coffee Supply Amidst Emerging Risks

ABSTRACT The burgeoning market for Philippine coffee presents significant opportunities; however, persistent and emerging stressors threaten its sustainability. This paper examines the hazards, vulnerabilities, and risks (HVRs) impacting the coffee supply chain in the Philippines' leading coffee‐producing regions, emphasizing the intricate interplay of climatic, biological, economic, and social factors. Through qualitative methods, the study reveals that irregular weather patterns, intensified by climate change, disrupt production cycles, leading to reduced yields and lower farmer incomes. Extreme weather events, such as typhoons, exacerbate these challenges by triggering landslides in mountainous areas. Furthermore, socioeconomic issues—including youth migration, an aging farmer population, rising production costs, and intensified competition—heighten the sector's vulnerability. The indebtedness of farmers to traders, coupled with limited access to formal financial services, introduces critical risks. Additionally, the small‐scale nature of the industry renders it vulnerable to price instability. The findings elucidate how these HVRs present significant obstacles throughout the production, processing, and distribution phases, necessitating coordinated policy interventions to address these challenges. Strengthening agricultural climate actions, enhancing financial literacy, and reinforcing traceability standards are essential measures. Engaging youth is also crucial for fostering innovation and ensuring long‐term sustainability.